BMI Country Risk & Industry Analysis’ Post

What’s happening with Germany’s coalition? From Christian Lindner’s controversial 18-page policy paper to his dismissal by Olaf Scholz and snap elections set for early 2025, there’s a lot to talk about. Luckily, our German team Tarik Oran, Vera Bibas, and Julia Brandkamp put together a report that outlines the start of the coalition, the challenges it faced and the key events that eventually led to its collapse. You can download the full report here: https://lnkd.in/eWkC43da With snap elections now on the horizon, it remains to be seen how these turbulent years will shape the outcome of the vote and who will ultimately benefit the most from the sudden dissolution of the German government. #GermanPolitics #OlafScholz #CoalitionGovernment

What has happened to Germany's coalition? The recent eventful weeks surrounding Christian Lindner’s 18-page policy paper, Olaf Scholz’s dismissal, and the announcement of snap elections for 2025 have stirred significant political turmoil. Together with my team— Vera Bibas and Julia Brandkamp —we have analyzed the rise and fall of the coalition, breaking down the key events that led to its collapse. 📊 DM me for the full report for insights into the current political landscape and what comes next or download it here: https://lnkd.in/eWkC43da With elections on the horizon, it'll be interesting to see how this uncertainty impacts the future of German politics. #GermanyPolitics #CoalitionCollapse #SnapElections #PolicyAnalysis #GermanGovernment

🇩🇪Germany is preparing for a snap federal election on February 23, 2025, after President Frank-Walter Steinmeier dissolved the Bundestag. This development followed the Free Democratic Party's exit from Chancellor Olaf Scholz's coalition, which led to a lost parliamentary majority and a subsequent vote of no confidence. This unexpected turn has sparked nationwide debate, as key issues emerge to shape the country’s political future.   📰What are the key topics to watch? Stay tuned for updates! #GermanyElection #SnapElection #Didyouknow

📅 February 23, 2025, will be a defining moment for Germany’s future—and it also happens to be my son’s 7th birthday, making it a meaningful day on both a personal and national level. With recent state elections showing a noticeable lean toward the right, this upcoming vote has even more significance. The choices we make now will set the tone for Germany over the next four years, and it’s crucial we learn from the past to shape a forward-thinking, balanced future. To make well-informed decisions, we need to listen to all voices in Germany—individuals, communities, companies, and organizations alike—to truly understand their needs and concerns. This is how we’ll find the right answers and set a shared vision for Germany’s future, one that balances progress with unity. As we head toward February, let’s commit to understanding the issues, listening deeply, assessing the facts, and casting votes that reflect our best vision for Germany’s future. Together, we can make choices that resonate positively for the next generation and bring us closer to a Germany we’re all proud to be part of. #Germany #elections #23February2025

The most alarming chart I have made this year... Germany is facing elections, and the far right and populist left are dominating the political conversation on Facebook. AfD alone outperforms Scholz and Merz by nearly x20. The center is left behind and has a lot of catching up to do. There are many reasons behind the political success of these fringe parties, and part of it has to do with social media. They are simply better at engaging voters communicating in ways that people respond to. In an election, reaching voters on social media has to be an absolute priority of political strategy. The center should study the data, learn from the fringe parties, and beat them at their own game: - speak directly to voters' concerns - create content that is emotionally engaging - provide better solutions than the fringe parties. If you are concerned by this and want to dive into the data, get in touch.

As I keep reflecting on our recent elections, one thought keeps coming back over and over again. What if we held our elections in the warmer months? Imagine casting your vote under clear blue skies, with the energy of a bright summer day ... When elections take place in the fall, under grey skies and cold winds, the atmosphere can feel heavy and somber. But picture the warmth of summer—a season of openness, togetherness, and optimism. Warm weather not only lifts our spirits but can make participation in civic duties like voting feel more accessible and energizing. It’s not just about aesthetics. Research has shown that good weather and sunshine can positively influence our moods and make us more likely to engage in community activities. For our democratic process, this could mean more people turning out to vote, more positive interactions, and a stronger sense of unity on election day. Of course, organizing elections is complex, but to the extent possible, aligning them with the sunlit days of summer could bring new light and energy to our democratic journey. What do you think? Could the warmth of summer inspire a warmer, more engaged approach to our civic duty? #Elections #Democracy #CivicEngagement #WarmWeatherVoting

🌟 Shorter Elections, Brighter Futures! 🌟 Did you know that the U.S. presidential race used to be much shorter? 🤔 As we look to streamline our election process, what could this mean for our democracy and engagement? Imagine a world where campaigns are concise, focused, and impactful! This could lead to more informed voters and less campaign fatigue. 💡 As a mechanical engineer and entrepreneur, I believe in the power of efficiency and innovation. Just like in engineering, where we strive for optimal solutions, our electoral process can benefit from a fresh perspective. What if we could apply data-driven strategies to enhance voter engagement and streamline the election process? 📊 Let’s discuss: Would shorter elections lead to better candidates and more engaged citizens? Thumbs up or down? 👍👎 #Elections #Innovation #Democracy #Efficiency #Engagement #Leadership #DataDriven #Entrepreneurship #PoliticalReform #CivicEngagement Curious to hear your thoughts! Share your one-word response in the comments!

Today we are starting our series on the German parliamentary elections, the Bundestagswahl. The election is being held on February 23, 2025, round seven months earlier than expected after the collapse of the coalition led by chancellor Scholz' SPD. As we did during the US Presidential Election 2024, we will aggregate polls and look at the changes, the demographics and what will make a difference in the election. Like always, this is about data analysis and no political commentary. We don't side with any party. You will find the link to the first episode, in English language, in the comments. The videos about the German elections in English and German language. #elections #germany #dataanalysis

Welcome to the latest issue of Justin Onuekwusi, our CIO, quarterly insights. Here, he offers insights from our investment team on the possible impact of the upcoming US elections. Read more here: #USElection #Election #Ballot

Hello! This is my new post on the USA presidential elections, where I explain what the polls say right now. I explain why this year is difficult to estimate the result due the amount of stadistical noise and previous polls errors. There will one or two articles more to come before polls open (A crazy rithm of publication haha) Stay tuned!