Average lead time almost 18 years for mines started in 2020–23 According to S&P Global: "The average mine lead time continues to trend upward, reaching 17.9 years for mines coming online in 2020–23 compared with 12.7 years for mines that started up 15 years ago. In this update of our previous article studying the lead time of mines — the interval from discovery to production — we have included several mines that started in 2023 and backfilled information on mines that started earlier. This study includes gold, copper, nickel and lithium mines that have begun production since 2000. All the main points that we presented in our previous study have held true in this iteration. It takes an average of approximately 16 years for a mine to go from discovery of a deposit to startup. Open-pit mines have a longer average lead time than underground mines due to the longer exploration and permitting phases. Nickel mines have the longest lead time due to a longer construction period, amplified by several mines discovered in the mid-1980s and 1990s when lower nickel prices may have caused tighter access to capital." discoverygr.com #timetobuildamine #mining #capital #gold #copper #lithium #nickel #zinc #ironore #coal #america #usa #africa #southamerica #northamerica #development #discovery
I would say that permitting and community management have become key processes in any project, not just in mining and not just in Canada, but around the world. The challenge is for both governments and companies to work together to ensure that projects are viable and sustainable. Otherwise, the cost of minerals would make life unbearable for most of the world's population.
Surface mining glacial jadeite has success within 5 minutes.Ongoing Smithsonian R&D.
Hi Jon, great info. After 30 years of developing mines in multiple countries, lead time continues to increase in most jurisdictions from decades ago. Only stronger projects will pass the approval process.
Very interesting data. Could you please share the link to the article/story?
Process Engineer
1moWith prospectors of minerals now applying extremely advanced techniques and technologies such as AI(Artificial Intelligence),the period from discovery to production is immensely reduced.For example KoBold Metals in Zambia,owned by Bill Gates,started explorattions in earnest around December, 2022,six months into the expedition, about 250 million tonnes of Copper were defined into reserves.Explorations are on going and underground mine construction is envisaged for 2026,this turn around indeed changes the norm of long lead times from cradldle to the grave if you like.