Selamat datang di Singapura, Pak Tom Lembong!
Pak Tom was in #Singapore this week and my colleagues and I were delighted to have spent a couple of precious hours catching up with the former Minister of Trade for #Indonesia and Head of the Indonesian Investment Coordinating Board.
Topics discussed ranged from Indonesia's #technology and #VentureCapital ecosystem and the importance of governance in #startups to his newfound internet fame (565k followers on Instagram, and counting!).
1. Indonesia is, without a doubt, one of the most exciting consumer internet economies in the world today. It is expected to be the third largest contributor to the middle class over the next decade and consumers will increasingly turn to the internet for all their needs. Consequently, its digital economy has grown 10x since 2015 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 15% from 2023 to 2025 – triple the rate of the country's GDP growth.
2. There is a growing divide in the digital economy. Although the internet has allowed consumers across the world's largest archipelago to access services from #education to #healthcare, lower purchasing power and challenging unit economics mean that consumers in non-metro areas are less able than their urban-dwelling counterparts to participate in and contribute meaningfully to the digital economy.
3. There is a distinct gap between VC investment activity and availability of dry powder. Although VC funding in #SoutheastAsia has fallen to a six-year low, undeployed capital rose to a six-year high of USD 15.7 billion at the end of 2022, from USD 12.4 billion the year before. This means that investors will soon have to start taking their foot off the brake, or risk creating a valuation bubble when their funds mature.
4. The tech funding winter is starting to thaw, but it will be a slow and uneven thaw. Between 2019 and 2023, seed deals have increased 112% on average; while Series A, B, and C deals have increased 31%, 87%, and 53% respectively. Conversely, the average deal size for Series D and later is down 50%.
5. VCs are diversifying to non-tech sectors. Digital businesses, once the darling of VCs, now need to demonstrate their value. Instead of blitzscaling strategies and "growth-at-all-cost", investors are now looking for proven monetisation models, visible exit pathways, realistic entry valuations, and a clear path to profitability. VCs are also investing in non-tech sectors like offline retail, consumer goods, and F&B.
6. A maturing tech ecosystem demands better corporate governance. As startups raise money from sophisticated institutions, they will be expected to put in place better corporate governance measures. Here, investors can help companies develop a culture of responsible governance.
Definitely lots of interesting ideas and plenty of opportunities for future collaboration!
Safe travels, Pak Tom, and see you in Jakarta!
Wefie by Pak Tom
Daniel Yong, Roy Ang, Nadira Sjarif, Kevin Yonathan
This is such impressive progress! The doubling of digital economy GMV reflects the nation’s commitment to fostering a robust digital ecosystem. It shows the transformative power of digitalization across sectors like logistics, fintech, edtech, and health tech. We celebrate Indonesia’s digital ascent and champion its journey toward a thriving, equitable digital landscape!