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WARING: A VULNERABLE GRID FOR SUMMER   The North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) is warning that the summer grid outlook for the U.S., is vulnerable.  Significant regional variations could influence grid stability this summer for a number of reasons including: -Variable renewable energy outputs -Reduced capacity resulting from the retirement of major generators -Surging demand -Transmission and import limitations -Weather-related risks such as drought complications and extended heat waves NERC generally expects the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) region to have sufficient resources but could suffer if wind generator performance falls during periods of high demand. New England could be vulnerable due to pending natural gas-fired retirements of 1.4 gigawatts at Constellation’s Mystic Generating Station in Boston. This could push ISO New England (ISO-NE) to “resort to operating procedures for obtaining resources or non-firm supplies from neighboring areas during periods of above-normal peak demand or low-resource conditions.” According to POWER, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) is grappling with “vigorous growth in both loads and solar and wind resources,” NERC noted. ERCOT’s CEO Pablo Vegas reported in April that their grid is bracing for exponential demand growth driven by crypto mining, data centers and artificial intelligence, electrification in the oil and gas industries, and potential impacts from the hydrogen economy. NERC warned that the region already faces risks of emergency conditions in the summer evening hours, as solar generation diminishes. Grid conditions in South Texas are most vulnerable when the demand is high and wind and solar generation is low, straining the transmission system which in turn necessitates generation curtailments to prevent overloading the transmission lines to avoid cascading outages. POWER also noted that in the West, California will benefit from new solar and battery resources and their current hydro resources. However, the region is banking on the completion of new generation from solar and battery (totaling nearly 6 GW of nameplate capacity). Based on a “probabilistic assessment” performed by WECC (Western Electricity Coordinating Council) the risks of load loss are like last summer.  Therefore, the outlook is dependent on just how much of the area’s new solar and battery resources will be completed over the summer. Added to everything else, summer brings the need for more air conditioning, especially with extended heat waves. Hurricanes, tornadoes, and severe thunderstorms can disrupt transmission. Addressing these pressures involves coordinated efforts in infrastructure investment, policy reform, technological innovation, and enhanced cybersecurity measures is the only way to keep our grid from being vulnerable. #energyindustry #powergeneration #nuclearenergy #nuclearpower #renewableenergy #renewables #electricgrid photo credit: cw39.com

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