President/Founder - Lawrence J. Eisenberg, P.C./ Compensation Law Group / Pooled Income Fund Advisory Group
https://lnkd.in/eViTxCG3 Very interesting article for us pension dweebs. Uncommonly detailed with good inside baseball. Ultimately skewed, and of limited use. Many thoughts here. Following are a few: 1. The article confuses correlation for causation as a lot of the growth in the pension assets is attributable to growth in the markets generally, and not the effect of the legislation itself. For example, using 1995 as the baseline for determining the growth in pension assets, right before the late 90s internet boom as well as the QE environment of the 2010s with the related favorable investment climate, skews to the benefit of the author’s intended conclusion. If the 7T grew at the actual annual 10.3% S&P rate over those 28 years, the retirement system would have 60T by now, not 38T as stated in the article (with no further net contributions). Even if the assets grew at 6.3% annual, there would be 38T. So how, other than compounding, have the changes to the pension system resulted in wealth disparity that would not have occurred anyway? 2. The article comes up short in tying the pension legislation to a windfall for the wealthy, the article’s thesis. 3. The article did not address ‘anti-wealth” provisions in the legislation, such as eliminating stretch. It also did not address how incentives are necessary for small business owners to set up plans. Addressing these points would have provided balance. 4. It would have been helped if the addressed how removing incentives to form plans would affect retirement plan assets. 5. Rarely does extreme wealth disparity result from retirement assets, despite the occasion large balance situation. 6. None of this suggests that continued review for improvements and reconsideration of how pension system should operation is not warranted – it is. For example, why are there still vesting rules? Can the rules be simplified? What more can be done to reduce fees?
Agree with Larry's comments read article this morning.
Partner at Walter | Haverfield LLP
6moLarry, I wonder where you got this article:)