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Sovereign Strategy

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As part of our Elections Insight series, we were thrilled to have the newest member of our Senior Counsel, political journalist and broadcaster Adam Boulton join us for an interview with our Executive Chairman, Alan Donnelly and CEO Hatice Küçük Beton in our London offices. We spoke about the upcoming general election in the UK and how other global elections in the EU and globally could impact the UK outcome. 🗳️ Check out the video below to a see sneak peak of our interviews, which we will be releasing to our website and YouTube channel over the next few weeks. 📹 We will also be sharing some more expert analysis from our senior counsel colleagues as we count down to July 4th so be sure to keep an eye out on our page.💡

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Transcript

So, Adam, welcome to Sovereign Strategies London headquarters on what is a very momentous time for the United Kingdom. But as you know, there's a lot of interest externally also and what's happening with the election campaign. But the the critical thing I think is that you hosted the 2010 debate between the three party leaders when Gordon Brown was Prime Minister, and that seemed to be a game changer. Do you think the party leader debates? The same impact today, I don't think they have the same formal impact because then all the broadcasters collaborated on three major events, which according to David Cameron, dominated the campaign to the extent that they sucked it out. But what we have seen is a series of debates. We've had two encounters involving the two main party leaders, the leader of Labour Kickstarter and the leader of the Conservatives, Rishi Sunak. But we've also seen because the UK is a diverse nation. Seeing 2 debates with multi headed 7 representatives of parties including the Welsh and Scottish nationalists, the Greens and also Reform UK. Now this was something that I don't think anyone saw before the election would have such an influence because Reform UK. Was at that stage not led by Nigel Farage and it seemed like those debates would be pretty much going through the motions to make sure all the parties were represented. I think the fact that Nigel Farage, who in terms of performance is probably. The most skilled politician in this country, certainly the most skilled party leader at the moment, has really changed the dynamic. And it does appear that as a result of the extra coverage, particularly in the debates that the other parties, not Labour and Conservative, are getting, that they appear to have moved the polls in their favour. Not changing the difference between Labour and the Conservatives, but certainly making. Them look more viable and also making them the story during the election campaign. As you know an election campaigns there's always the danger of a bandwagon starting role. Adam, thank you for your time. It's a pleasure for me to be on the Question Time seat for you. Well, it's fun for me to give answers rather than ask questions. Thank you so much for for joining this conversation. We have at the moment 70 elections going on this year and a number of them have already passed. And everyone's speaks about this mega election year and how the UK elections and all the other major elections will affect our new geopolitics and the balance. Looking ahead or looking back now at the EU elections that we just had a few days ago, we run a major shockwave through Europe far right as we emerged. The media in the UK and in the EU has covered in the last few days. What's your reflections on the trends where you work has gone? Well, one thing I would say is that predictions stand often work out. Do they? I mean, so I think as you approach the UK election, we should be cautious as to the extent of the result. I mean, for example, it was conventional wisdom in India. That Narendra Modi's BJP, we're going to breakthrough, possibly get a supermajority. Well, they didn't get that. They're now coming in coalition. And likewise of the European elections, as you say. That was a lot of talk about the rise of the far right across Europe, whereas what we've seen is. Quite a partial picture that certainly in faults and in Germany, major drivers of the European Union, the radical right has done extremely well. But in other countries, you know, Sweden, for example, they haven't done so well. And actually in Hungary, which is often focused on, as you know, the home of the nativist right in Europe, although Orban's party won, he's now got quite a significant challenge, more centrist challenge. On just to his left from a former colleague So. You can't necessarily predict what we can say about these European elections is that. The right, the traditional right, European People's Party and just next to them, the party which actually was founded by David Cameron, the Conservative Prime Minister, the ECHR. Are both stronger, so there has been a shift to the right, but perhaps not as far as everyone was expecting.

Broadcaster & Political Journalist

4mo

Really enjoyed being interviewed by Alan and Hatice

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