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After the apparent pro-crypto shift in US politics in May, there have been further positive developments on the US political and regulatory front. Support for the crypto industry is now included in the official Republican Party platform. Very importantly, the SEC dropped its investigation into Ethereum 2.0, deciding not to pursue charges that the proof-of-stake version of Ether is a security, and a federal judge ruled that the BNB token of the Binance Chain is not a security when traded in the secondary market. “At this point, proof-of-stake crypto assets appear to be out of the woods. Proof-of-work was already de facto not considered a security, but proof-of-stake cryptocurrencies have been challenged by the SEC. Now this risk has largely been removed,” Katalin Tischhauser, Sygnum Bank’s Head of Investment Research, says. Meanwhile VanEck and 21Shares filed to launch Solana ETFs. However, the market is divided on whether further ETFs can happen soon, considering they face significant hurdles. “It is not that likely to happen in the near future. If we look ahead to 2026 and beyond, they will probably be approved, but by the March 2025 final approval deadline of the filings, this is not likely,” Katalin Tischhauser says. The filings are a significant step but the hurdles are substantial because there needs to be a surveillable market that fits the SEC’s definition. For BTC and ETH, they referenced the CME futures market, however, there are no Solana futures and the CME stated last month that they had no plans to launch this product. Alternatively, the SEC’s stance on what they consider an acceptable “surveillable market” needs to shift. “An even bigger question is the potential demand for Solana ETFs. Ethereum has half the name recognition of Bitcoin, and Solana has much less than that among new types of investors, while those already familiar with crypto will be trading spot. I’m not suggesting that there would be no demand but it doesn’t look like a substantial amount that would create political pressure. However, if the world’s largest asset manager and leading ETF provider BlackRock filed, as some unsourced rumours suggest, that would change the picture,” Katalin Tischhauser says. 🎬 Watch this week's Sygnum research livestream “Is crypto decoupling from the global markets?” with Katalin Tischhauser here: https://lnkd.in/dWHzV7MM Dom Castley MBA MCIM, Fabian Dori, Lionel Vaucher, Markus Hämmerli, Stefan Edelmann, Olga Voldiner, Rico Müller, Juan Carlos Largo Castellà, Federico Pepe, Luca Burlando #SolanaETFs #solana #bitcoin Disclaimer: https://bit.ly/4edJA1v

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