Latest from IPR in collaboration with Kaya Partners, looks out to 2050 at the critical role of Nature-Based Solutions (NBS) to reduce CO2 emissions arising from agriculture & land sectors.
'Nature-based solutions (NBS) to reduce CO2 emissions arising from the agriculture & land sectors will play a critical role in temperature stabilization this century."
"The Inevitable Policy Response Forecast Policy Scenario (IPR FPS) forecasts NBS, encompassing sustainable agriculture, ending deforestation & land conversion, & afforestation in a biodiverse manner, could help reduce global GHG emissions down to ~11.59 GtCO2e in 2050 (in total, a 77% drop from current levels)."
"These NBS solutions help drive existing land CO2 emissions from over 3 GtCO2 today to net negative in 2050 (-3.5 GtCO2), contributing 20% to GHG emissions reductions in 2050. In the nearer term, IPR forecasts land CO2 emissions halving to ~1.4 Gt by 2030."
Amongst major conclusions:
If the current public/private initiatives fail to mobilize the $1.6 trillion investment in NBS that IPR estimates is needed globally by 2050, other large-scale government-to-government funds modelled after the Amazon Fund, within the context of NCQG objectives, will need to be deployed if the world is to stabilize climate and nature.
"Specific focus is applied to Brazil and #NBS investment models. Potential for the New Quantified Collective Goals (NQCG) to create a robust framework to support scaling of NBS worldwide is also explored."
"Brazil has massive potential to scale NBS. Brazil represents 10% of global NBS mitigation in IPR FPS 2023 & will need cumulative investment of $56bn by 2030, about 16% of global NBS spend, growing to $138bn in cumulative investment by 2050, to deliver these CO2 reductions."
"IPR analysis suggests Brazil could succeed in shoring up needed investment levels for climate in the longer term, offering a potential model for the globe."
Authored by Lara Gutiérrez Santander & Andreas Stokkendal Poulsen from Kaya Partners as part of our long term collaborative partnership between IPR & Kaya Partners.
Full Report Download:
'Brazil can show the way for scaling Nature Based Solutions at COP30' October 2024
https://lnkd.in/gNQJerE7
Quick View - Report Summary
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Coming Up - Annual Review
IPR Annual Review including updates on forecasts is due in February 2025. Registrations will open pre-Christmas with notification via Inevitable Policy Response & Principles for Responsible Investment socials.
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