Verian Group’s Post

The Conservatives’ best chance of increasing their support and reducing the scale of a Labour victory – or denying Labour a majority altogether – rests on a very specific group of voters: people who voted Conservative in 2019, and who even with the election campaign underway are continuing to say they don’t know how they’ll vote on 4th July. FGS Global has undertaken in depth research to find out who this critical set of voters are and what they are thinking. Read more here: https://lnkd.in/emEgeHXU #fgsglobal #navigatechange #researchandinsight

As the UK General Election approaches, which issues matter most to Conservative 2019 and Labour 2019 voters when deciding who to vote for? Of those who are likely to vote in the upcoming election: - 44% of those who voted Conservative in 2019 plan to do so again, while 28% now support Reform UK. - In contrast, 76% of 2019 Labour voters intend to stick with Labour, with 4% switching to Reform UK and 13% moving to the Green party. Discover more insights on the Verian website: https://lnkd.in/eR8Cpf5P #UKGeneralElection #VotingIntentions #VerianData

🗳 With the General Election campaign now underway, the Field team have pulled together our “Class of 2024” Parliamentary candidates to watch report.   🔎 The report identifies 33 candidates from the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and the SNP who could be the ones to watch in the next Parliament.   🔁 Regardless of the election result, we will see seats changing hands at a rate not even seen in 1997, with almost 80 Conservatives standing down and well over 100 MPs across the House not seeking re-election.   This report is your guide to the new faces set to define the next era of British politics and is one of the many ways we are helping our clients navigate the noise of the election.   If you think that we can help you prepare for the new Parliament, please get in touch with us at info@fieldconsulting.co.uk 💻.   Read the full report below or via the Field Consulting website👇   https://lnkd.in/gNggimBc #GE2024 #Conservative #Labour #LibDem #SNP #PPC

Is the UK’s electoral system still fit for purpose? Yesterday’s vote may provide evidence that change is needed. 40% of those eligible to vote didn’t, and of those that did 67% voted for parties other than labour. Yet the U.K’s first past the post system led to a landslide majority for Labour. It’s easy to see why voters may feel apathetic - like their vote just didn’t count. Everyone wants the immediate issues - not least the NHS - tackled. But my sense is that electoral reform will surface as an issue for Keir Starmer sooner than later.

Just 2 days until the UK elections! According to a recent poll by OPPi: AI-powered audience insight platform, Labour is enjoying a significant lead, but with 1/4 of voters still undecided, the outcome is far from certain. The 'undecided' vote could still have an influence on the result. Discover more predictions from our research for OPPi, highlighting the key issues for UK voters and their hopes for meaningful change in the upcoming election - https://lnkd.in/eyfqR-3v #UKElections #marketresearch #mrx #PoliticalPolls #dataandinsights

UK General Election Results 2017-2024. Where's the momentum going? Voter turnout down from 68.8% in 2017 to 67.3% in 2019, and down again in 2024 to 60%. 26,514,602 people voted Cons or Lab in 2017. In 2024, that figure was down to 16,416,034. Brexit Party 2019: 644,257 votes, 2% of the vote share, 0 seats. Reform UK 2024: 4,072,947 votes, 14% of the vote share, 5 seats. On the one hand, the edges of politics appear better at energising voters. On the other hand, a decidedly vanilla, centre-ground campaign has just given Labour a stunning majority... For the Tories to find their way back, they need to give voters something to be excited about, without steering too far off the centre. A socially liberal, One Nation agenda got them there under David Cameron. Leave the toxic anti-immigration rhetoric and Trumpist populism to Nigel Farage, purge the party of sleaze, and start speaking to the whole of the country again.

Dear friends, Just before the election 📢 , there’s a major threat to our future: complacency. The media 📰 would have you believe the election result is certain. But the narrative that the election is a foregone conclusion means that right now, millions of people are still undecided on how they will vote – in part because so many people believe that Labour will win big regardless. That is dangerous. ⚡Very dangerous. ⚡⚡ Here’s why:   1️⃣ Pollsters are divided: Although all polls give Labour a big lead nationally, they diverge wildly on how many seats that will translate to. In fact, pollsters agree on who is set to win in just 317 of the 631 constituencies in the country. 2️⃣ Constituencies are on a knife-edge: Because of the way Labour’s support is distributed across the country, small changes in voting could create big differences in outcome in constituencies across the country. In many constituencies Labour and the Lib Dems are predicted to win by a very narrow margin. More than 100 constituencies are predicted to be won on 35% of the vote or less. In 2019 that number was three! 3️⃣ There’s a time lag in the polls: Constituency level polling takes weeks – meaning that shifts in voting intention that have taken place in the last few days won’t show up in the latest media stories. These polls are a snapshot of the past, not a prediction of the future. It all boils down to this: the only poll that matters is the one taking place on Thursday - so please use your vote! #UKelection #vote #noroomforcomplacency

The people in England, the cradle of democracy, have now woken up. The election participation rate is 52%. Elections are just a game in which the people, who are among the servants of global devils, are deceived. For context: There was only a 52% turnout. So that means 48 in every 100 eligible voters never voted, effect saying 'there is no option I trust here'. So far Labour have 34% of the vote. So 34% of 52%. So in reality only about 18 in every 100 eligible voters, voted for them. But they get to rule. It shows the scam this 'democracy' aka totalitarian state is! If ever there was a compelling argument to change the voting system in the UK, it’s this 2024 general election statistic: 🗳️Labour won 65% of parliamentary seats with just 34% of the vote.

Conservative Dodo (established 1834 - extinct 2024)? A new Financial Times poll by Ipsos reckons the Conservatives lose up to 1/3 of voters in 4 months as UK election nears. 8% switch to Reform UK, 6% to Labour. Will the Conservatives survive extinction? A massive evolutionary change will be needed to survive this election. In fact, there are huge challenges for both major parties as campaign enters final stretch. #UKElection2024 #BritishPolitics #VoterTrends