Winning the (election) battle of the sexes
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Hello from London,
History doesn’t repeat itself. But could the election, a month from now, be a re-run of 2016? It’s not a mad idea. Donald Trump looks more likely than not to lose the popular vote. Despite that, a viable path exists for him to get enough electoral-college votes. And everyone knows that some crotchety voters, even today, doubt that a woman should be president and commander-in-chief. The election, in some ways, is a battle of the sexes.
Gender plays a role in the election. Kamala Harris is taking care not to talk up the historic nature of electing the first female president. For as many people who are inspired by that, some are put off. On the plus side for Democrats, women tend to vote at a higher rate than men (and are likelier to back their party). That might explain why Mr Trump, in turn, is working to get more men to the polls. Older ones, especially, are more likely to back him. Our article on the ways that gender plays out among the electorate makes for fascinating reading.
Much coverage of politics, inevitably, is on polls and prospects for the candidates. We launch the congressional part of our election-forecast model in the next few days, to go with the existing presidential one . This matters. If one party gets control of the House and the Senate as well as the White House, the next few years will bring more radical change, especially the legislative sort.
But what of policy? Hardly anyone writes in meaningful detail about the different policy positions of the rival candidates. We now aim to put that right. We have published the first of our new series of policy briefs, focusing on the differences in the candidates’ stances on trade . Look out all week for the rest of these, running through differences in foreign, economic and other policies.
Let me also recommend our latest “Economist reads” article. This week we serve up a selection of the best books that probe the secrets of the Mossad , Israel’s storied spy agency. I’m passing up the chance, otherwise, to comment today on the ongoing misery in the Middle East. Call me crazy, but I suspect the war will be rolling on next week. Meanwhile read our impressive collection of stories , and the cover leader , on the worsening situation.
Our two games are live: Dateline (for history enthusiasts) and our Pint-sized news quiz . Let me know how you get on at economisttoday@economist.com .
Adam Roberts, digital editor
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🕯️Master of Wordcraft and Artificial Intelligence
1w🙍♀️women, get in your place .—Trump has spoken. "Whether you want, or not" https://lnkd.in/ghEhm_-9
Commercial Tenant Rep & Former U.S. Marine Infantry
2wTrump back in the White House would be a disaster for our nation. Listen to Mark Cuban.
OK Boštjan Dolinšek
Owner - Principal Electrical Engineer at AcDc Engineering
4wLest you forget...
Health And Safety Manager at Axis Family Resources Ltd.
1moIf you are voting for a 34x convicted felon, and arguably, one of the most obnoxious human beings on this planet… then that sure says something about you. Rooting for you folks to get Kamala, and not this sociopath. Love, a concerned Canadian