BCA Research

#US #Equities I joined Yahoo! Finance Morning Brief earlier today to discuss the outlook for US equities into the yearend. My key point is that markets are entering a period of heightened volatility over the next couple of months because of triple uncertainty: the trajectory of the US economy, the pace of monetary tightening, and the outcome of the presidential election. Empirically, each event has led to lower returns and heightened volatility. A combination of them is bound to be toxic. https://lnkd.in/e8-d8h2f BCA Research

We are excited to announce that Ryan Swift, Strategist, US Bond Strategy, BCA Research will be presenting at the Global Investment Institute (GII)’s Fixed Income & Alternatives Investment Forum 2024 in Melbourne, VIC on September, 12th. Ryan will cover the following: 1) Whether the US economy is heading towards a recession or a soft landing, 2) Key factors to monitor for predicting the most likely outcome, and 3) Implications for positioning a bond portfolio effectively. Looking forward to the opportunity of discussing this topic with those who will be in attendance. If you would like to register to attend, please reach out to Dimitri Baveas 🔑or Zlatan K. from GII for more details. #bonds #investment #rates #inflation

Garry Evans, BCA Research’s chief strategist, said on CNBC's Asia Squawk Box that there are things in the economy that are “breaking down quite rapidly now,” and contrary to what the market believes, a recession is coming. https://lnkd.in/gTywMqip #recession #investment #economy

BCA Research is globally known for its first class #macro #strategy #research - did you know that we also have a #stock #selection tool called Equity Analyzer - our platform ranks over 12,000 stocks globally, allows you to #screen, #backtest, create long/short baskets and even gives you stock specific sensitivities to macro variables like #inflation, #fx or #yieldcurve - which stock has the highest BCA score globally right now? #PilgrimsPride - for a quick demo of our platform feel free to book an appointment

On Blinken-Bibi apparent agreement to bridge gap on Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal: The ceasefire itself is not a done deal and there are still many factors pushing against it. It tentatively reduces risk but we are not convinced yet. If ceasefire comes together, fighting in Lebanon could still escalate, as Israel still needs to restore residents to homes in north of country. Critical to see if any ceasefire comes along with pause of escalation with Iran and Hezbollah. For example, Israel could cease fire with Hamas in order to pivot to Hez more effectively. We outlined the dynamic here (paywall): https://lnkd.in/gQajw5RS

We are excited to announce that Paul Devereaux has joined BCA Research as Chief Revenue Officer and Kiran Mander has joined as Head of Marketing. With their extensive experience and expertise, Paul and Kiran will make significant contributions to our mission of making BCA Research the essential source of macro insight for the world’s top professionals. Read the full press release here: https://lnkd.in/gJ_pnSP8 Welcome aboard, Paul and Kiran! #macroeconomics #CRO #CMO #leadership #growth

Chief Global Investment Strategist, Peter Berezin, says the US is already on a path to a #recession and predicts that it will start suddenly and unexpectedly later this year or in early 2025. Listen here on BNN Bloomberg: https://lnkd.in/erB7hcNc #macroeconomics

While the world was too busy focusing on every CPI print and every word of every central bank meetings' minutes, #Greek risk assets were busy outperforming the rest of #Europe. As highlighted in BCA Research's latest European investment research, Greece's economy has been playing catch-up with the rest of Europe. And while the country still has a lot of work to do, Greece no longer represents a risk to the #euro or the #EU. After the sun has shone on both Greek equities and government bonds since 2023, the important question for investors is the following: Is it finally time for some shade? Read more here: https://lnkd.in/gJm57NuK

According to BCA's Chief Emerging Markets Strategist, Arthur Budaghyan, global risk assets remain vulnerable. Learn more now! https://lnkd.in/gaUTEN4

BCA, in collaboration with CAIA Association, invites you to an exclusive Private Markets and Alternatives Seminar on Wednesday, September 18th, hosted by BCA's Chief Strategist, Brian Payne, CFA, CAIA. During this webinar, Brian will address the following areas: •Framework for Growth, Inflation, Diversification and Income in Private Markets •Reason behind the optimism for APAC Private Equity and opportunities at the country level •Assess whether it is the right time to prioritize European buyouts over North American investments •Differences between opportunities in Office CRE across APAC countries, Europe and the US •How a US recession is impacting these perspective To RSVP, please email rory.davis@bcaresearch.com or stefan.poppe@bcaresearch.com