Aionite Capital

🚀 The US stock rally keeps pushing higher! Strong Q3 earnings are fueling the momentum, while higher-than-expected inflation last week was brushed off by investors. But beneath the surface, our indicators are picking up some intriguing shifts: 👉 Over the past year, sentiment has been a key driver of this rally. However, our sentiment indicator is now losing steam. 👉 The brief volatility shocks in August and September seem to have left their mark. This is particularly noticeable in volatility and our «Market Sentiment» indicator. The volatility curve is now inverted, meaning traders expect higher short-term fluctuations than further out – an unusual signal that often points to market stress. Right now, the rally is still momentum-driven, but most of our other indicators show little excitement. Will this rally carry us through year-end? Drop your thoughts in the comments! ⬇️ #MarketTrends #StockMarket #Investing #Sentiment #Volatility #AioniteCapital #AioniteCompass

Das neue Semester ist schon wieder in vollem Gange! Ich wünsche allen meinen Studierenden der Universität Zürich | University of Zurich ein spannendes und hoffentlich lehrreiches Herbstsemester. Ich freue mich auf eine gute Zeit und viele interessante Diskussionen. #UZH #AioniteCapital #FixedIncome

US Corporate Credit is having a standout year! With yields trending lower and prices steadily rising, our indicators have once again shifted to an overweight position — signaling strong confidence in the sector. Momentum is looking appealing and despite last week’s slightly softer-than-expected CPI numbers, inflation continues its downward trend at 2.5%, moving closer to the Fed's 2% target. This is a key reason why the Fed is expected to lower interest rates on Wednesday—an additional tailwind for corporate credit. What’s even more exciting? Valuations. Term spreads are normalizing and the recent volatility in equity markets during August and September has widened credit spreads to more attractive levels. This makes US Corporate Credit a compelling space to watch as we move forward. Where do you see the best opportunities ahead? 💬 Leave your thoughts in the comments below! #AioniteCapital #CorporateCredit #Finance #InvestmentOutlook #MarketInsights #InvestmentStrategy #EconomicTrends

✨ Gold is shining bright again! Over the last 12 months, gold has surged by over 20%, even outperforming US stocks. 📈 Our «Final» indicator has been spot-on, capturing this impressive rally. For the past three weeks, it's been signaling bullish momentum for gold. But there's more to the story than just momentum. A mix of sluggish growth, a slowing credit impulse, and weakening leading indicators are all supportive of gold’s continued rise. Add in the central bank’s pivot towards lowering rates, and the case for gold gets even stronger. Our fair value model also suggests that this rally has legs, making gold an attractive option. 💬 What about you? Have you been increasing your allocation to gold? Let us know in the comments! #Gold #InvestmentStrategy #MarketTrends 💡 Chart explanation: A score above 0.7 indicates attractive markets, below 0.3 unattractive markets, and in-between neutral markets. 🔔 Want to know more about #AioniteCompass? Contact us.

📉 Last Friday saw a significant risk-off move in global markets. Equities dropped around 2%, and the VIX skyrocketed. The catalyst for the sell-off? The U.S. labor market data disappointed, with fewer new jobs created and the unemployment rate rising for the fourth consecutive month to 4.3%. The increased unemployment triggered growth and recession fears among market participants. For instance, the «Sahm Rule» indicates a U.S. recession. The rule states that a recession is imminent if the three-month moving average (MAV) of the unemployment rate rises more than 0.5% above the minimum three-month MAV of the last 12 months. The rule is a nice story, But bad economic data isn't new at all. Our «Growth» indicator has been showing signs of a deteriorating US economy for almost a year. What's new is that investors are finally paying attention! Previously, bullish sentiment led many investors to overlook these concerns. Could Friday mark the turning point for a new market narrative? What are your thoughts? Share your insights! #MarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #GrowthIndicator 💡 Chart explanation: A score above 0.7 indicates attractive markets, below 0.3 unattractive markets, and in-between neutral markets. 🔔 Want to know more about #AioniteCompass? Contact us.

📉 Last Friday saw a significant risk-off move in global markets. Equities dropped around 2%, and the VIX skyrocketed. The catalyst for the sell-off? The U.S. labor market data disappointed, with fewer new jobs created and the unemployment rate rising for the fourth consecutive month to 4.3%. The increased unemployment triggered growth and recession fears among market participants. For instance, the «Sahm Rule» indicates a U.S. recession. The rule states that a recession is imminent if the three-month moving average (MAV) of the unemployment rate rises more than 0.5% above the minimum three-month MAV of the last 12 months. The rule is a nice story, But bad economic data isn't new at all. Our «Growth» indicator has been showing signs of a deteriorating US economy for almost a year. What's new is that investors are finally paying attention! Previously, bullish sentiment led many investors to overlook these concerns. Could Friday mark the turning point for a new market narrative? What are your thoughts? Share your insights! #MarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #GrowthIndicator 💡 Chart explanation: A score above 0.7 indicates attractive markets, below 0.3 unattractive markets, and in-between neutral markets. 🔔 Want to know more about #AioniteCompass? Contact us.

💥 US two-year rates surged to 5% yield in April. Since then, inflation has cooled, and the central bank is expected to cut rates 2.5 times by December. As a result, bonds have rallied, with the front-end outperforming. The interest rate curve has made significant progress towards normalization, and the spread between 2- and 30-year US Treasuries has nearly converged to zero. Our front-end momentum indicator captures this dynamic perfectly, reflecting central bank stance and serving as a vital tool for multiple assets. Following the recent rally, the indicator suggests more upside potential for both bonds and equities. What are your thoughts on this trend? Share your insights! #BondMarket #EquitiesOutlook 💡 Chart explanation: The upper part of the chart presents the market's total return over the past 2 years. The lower part of the chart shows our #AioniteCompass indicator. A score above 0.7 indicates attractive markets, below 0.3 unattractive markets, and in-between neutral markets. 🔔 Want to know more about #AioniteCompass? Contact us.

📈 US equities are on fire this year, boasting over a 15% return. However, the bulk of these gains are driven by tech giants, with NVIDIA alone skyrocketing 2.5 times. Meanwhile, small caps are stuck near zero. 🔴 Our New Highs indicator is flashing red, signaling caution with an underweight in stocks. The indicator shows that over the past year, more stocks have hit fresh lows than new highs. How long can this dominance of big tech persist? Share your thoughts below! #StockMarket #Investing #TechGiants #NVIDIA #MarketAnalysis 💡 Chart explanation: The upper part of the chart presents the market's total return over the past 2 years. The lower part of the chart shows our #AioniteCompass indicator. A score above 0.7 indicates attractive markets, below 0.3 unattractive markets, and in-between neutral markets. 🔔 Want to know more about #AioniteCompass? Contact us.

Hier ein Kurzinterview mit Co-Gründer, Sandro Braun, im neuen OEC-Magazin zu ausgewählten Alumni. Er spricht darüber, wie er seine Frau im Studium kennengelernt hat, sie ihre Hochzeit im Uniturm gefeiert haben und wie er heute als Dozent an der UZH sein Wissen weitergibt. Die UZH ist seit über 20 Jahren ein treuer Begleiter auf seinem Weg! Zum Interview: https://lnkd.in/dUQYA2TA #AioniteCapital #uzh #oecuzh #oecalumni

🇨🇭📈 Swiss bonds have had a stellar year, delivering over 4% returns! Our «Volatility Clustering» algorithm indicates ongoing low risk on the horizon, and with the SNB’s recent decision to cut rates, the outlook for further gains is bright. 💹✨ What do you think? Are we set for more positive momentum? Share your thoughts! 💬 #SwissBonds #MarketOutlook 💡 Chart explanation: The upper part of the chart presents the market's total return over the past 2 years. The lower part of the chart shows our #AioniteCompass indicator. A score above 0.7 indicates attractive markets, below 0.3 unattractive markets, and in-between neutral markets. 🔔 Want to know more about #AioniteCompass? Contact us.