The team at Thriving Southland commissioned this report for Southland dairy farmers to 'encourage thinking and debate, grow awareness of the varying opinions and inform readers own thinking' about potential disruption from alternative proteins.
In Southland, 1 in 5 jobs are in the dairy sector, and 12% of New Zealand's dairy output is produced here. As a region, dairy is absolutely key to our economy.
The report includes input from:
Jeremy Hill, Fonterra’s Chief Science and Technology Officer: Fonterra has been active in following and understanding precision fermentation for decades, and have invested in partnerships in the space e.g. Vivici.
He still has doubts around scale, cost parity with dairy, nutritional equivalency and environmental claims which ‘still need to be validated’. Believes it will be completely to cow dairy.
Paul Melville, Federated Farmers: "Today, dairy is our biggest export earner. In 1990 it was meat, and in 1960 it was wool. We should provide the mechanisms needed for farmers to adapt to change as it occurs."
Anna Benny, Navigate: New Zealand’s dairy ingredient focus leaves us uniquely exposed. Unlike other dairy-producing nations which only convert their excess milk production into dairy commodities after producing fresh dairy products for their population, NZ puts about 80% of milk solids into ingredients. These are a lot easier to replace than liquid milk, and key customers are already working on this. The nutritional element is far less critical in these use cases, and the environmental footprint more contentious.
Nicole (Nikki) Freed, PhD, Daisy Lab: New Zealand is particularly exposed to this disruption, as the New Zealand economy is heavily reliant on products that have the most potential to be impacted by precision fermentation
– milk powder and dairy protein powder are bulk commodity
ingredients with the potential to be most impacted by
precision fermentation.
I'm looking forward to seeing how this work can help inform future discussions about the future for Southland and NZ in general. Dairy farmers are making investments in producing milk which will have long payback periods. While disruption is not on the cards in the next few years, if and when it happens it will have huge impacts for these individual family businesses. I hope as an industry we continue to keep a close eye on the progress of these technologies, and use them to inform our strategies for the future rather than simply dismissing them as hype.