Aurora Energy Research

🔋Calling all Battery Investors! How can we equip you with strategic insights for smarter #BatteryInvestment decisions? Our powerful #Origin and #Chronos software is now integrated! You can benefit from: ✅ Robust power price forecasts ✅ Accurate market modelling  ✅ Realistic dispatch simulations for battery investors 📽️ Watch as Aurora Origin Lead, Johannes Maywald, walks through a real-world battery overbuild case in action. To find out how you can gain the insights you need to assess risks, seize opportunities, and refine your strategy with confidence, contact our team for a personalised demo: https://lnkd.in/eh4z6cXx #OriginChronosIntegration #AuroraEMEA #BatteryInsights #EnergyStorage #PowerMarkets

Our Advisory Team is at the forefront of shaping the energy transition, from developing business cases for renewable energy and batteries to evaluating the impact of cutting-edge technologies. 🔎 If you're looking to build expertise in stakeholder management, presenting, business case evaluation, and more, join our Advisory team in Chile! 🚀 Apply today and be part of the change: https://lnkd.in/e7AwWTnv #AuroraEnergyResearch #AdvisoryCareers #EnergyTransition #StrategicInsights #AuroraLATAM

Have you booked your tickets yet? 👀   On 21st-22nd May, the most senior figures in the energy sector will come together to address the industry's most pressing challenges in London for the Aurora Spring Forum 2025. 📍   Over two days, we’ll tackle some of the biggest questions: ⚡ How will geopolitical shifts reshape global energy markets? ⚡ Can Europe maintain momentum in its decarbonisation journey? ⚡ What are the real economic challenges of the energy transition?   Join a room full of industry leaders and decision-makers as we navigate these complex issues. Don’t miss the opportunity to be part of the conversation shaping the energy transition.    🎟️Buy your ticket now! https://lnkd.in/eBjgteA3   #AuroraSpringForum #EnergyTransition #GreenEnergy #Decarbonisation enspired, National Grid, CIBC, Clarke Energy, MUFG, RWE, Schroders Greencoat LLP

We recently posed one of the key questions about #REMA to our client group - what is the optimal number of price zones in a zonal pricing system in GB? The results show nearly half of participants would favour a 4-6 zone system. This is significantly less than the 12 zones that is currently proposed by the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero. Results come from a recent webinar we hosted at Aurora Energy Research, with ~250 attendees, which looked at how a zonal or a reformed national market would operate.

Watch April to see where Dutch negative power prices are heading in 2025. In recent years, the number of negative power price hours in the Netherlands has surged, with each year setting a new record. Will 2025 follow the same trend, or will the slowdown in solar expansion and increased flexibility in solar parks help keep prices in check? April might give us the answer. Historically, April sees a sharp rise in negative power prices. As solar irradiance increases, the large Dutch solar PV fleet generates more electricity, pushing prices down during the day. From 2021 to 2024, the cumulative number of negative price hours (more than) doubled from the end of March to the end of April. Negative prices benefit offtakers, who get paid for offtake in these hours, but form a risk for solar and wind projects, as my colleague Simon De Clercq and I argued in an article we published two weeks ago. So far, 2025 is ahead of the current record-holder, 2024, but can it maintain its lead? We anticipate an increase in negative prices compared to last year, though staying below 600 hours. The exact numbers and the impact on solar curtailment? That’s something we share exclusively with our clients. If you’re interested, feel free to reach out! What’s your prediction? Let’s hear your bets! Aurora Energy Research #EnergyTransition #SolarPV #NegativePriceHours

🔎 Each year, Aurora Energy Research's Australian NEM team runs a detailed survey for industry participants to assess where the 'market consensus' sits on key NEM uncertainties - from technology costs, to long-term demand, to BTM generation and storage, to commodity prices, to government policy, and WACCs (amongst many others) 🔍 📫 NEM subscribers can download the report that summarizes the survey results on EOS, Aurora's online platform📬 https://lnkd.in/gBhuHQCQ ⚡ This year over 60 subscribers took part and we'll be sharing some of the most interesting results over the next week⚡ ☎️ Reach out to the Aurora NEM / WEM team if you'd like to discuss market or grid modelling ☎️

💡 Aurora Energy Research's February 2025 market summary notes for the Philippines are now live on EOS 💡 https://lnkd.in/gNF8ABWQ ⚡ Intraday prices shapes in the WESM illustrate the impact of additional demand at evening peaks⚡ The notes are a very helpful summary of key trends in the Philippines power market updated every month - data cuts include: 📌 Daily and monthly WESM prices by region 📌 Average time-of-day price shapes across the month 📌 Average intraday price spreads 📌 Daily generation patterns 📌 Daily and monthly reserve and contingency ancillary market prices ☎️ Reach out to the Aurora Philippines team if you'd like to talk about renewable, storage, and thermal investment cases, as well as our grid / nodal/ curtailment transmission power-flow modelling capabilities ☎️

Unlock Investment Opportunities in India’s Power Market ⚡ Are you looking to navigate India’s rapidly evolving energy sector? Join our Public Webinar, “Indian Power Markets 101: Opportunities for Foreign Investors,” on Tuesday, 8 April 2025, from 09:00–10:00 CST.   With India’s surging energy demand and the shift from long-term PPAs to a more dynamic market, understanding merchant power liquidity and emerging investment opportunities is more critical than ever.   Our team, Debabrat Ghosh, Ashutosh Padelkar, Mrunal Karnik, will cover: - How India’s power market is structured—governance, regulation & dispatch - What’s driving the rise in merchant power volumes - Forecasts for demand, capacity, and power prices across India through 2060 - Renewable energy tariffs vs. day-ahead market prices - Key risks and opportunities for investors, developers and financiers over the next decade   This is a must-attend session for energy professionals, investors, and market stakeholders looking to stay ahead in one of the world’s fastest-growing power markets. Secure your spot now: https://lnkd.in/eZtH7GK4   #AuroraAPAC #IndiaEnergy #InvestmentOpportunities #IndianPowerMarket

💡 Aurora Energy Research's February 2025 market summary notes for the Philippines are now live on EOS 💡 https://lnkd.in/gNF8ABWQ ⚡ Feb 2025 saw WESM prices at 2.7 to 2.9k P/MWh - significantly below long-term averages of approx 5.5k P/MWh⚡ The notes are a very helpful summary of key trends in the Philippines power market updated every month - data cuts include: 📌 Daily and monthly WESM prices by region 📌 Average time-of-day price shapes across the month 📌 Average intraday price spreads 📌 Daily generation patterns 📌 Daily and monthly reserve and contingency ancillary market prices ☎️ Reach out to the Aurora Philippines team if you'd like to talk about renewable, storage, and thermal investment cases, as well as our grid / nodal/ curtailment transmission power-flow modelling capabilities ☎️

Portugal's aging wind fleet faces critical crossroads - 4 GW of wind capacity will reach 20+ years of age by 2030. Our modeling demonstrates that without timely repowering, Portugal faces: ⚠️Increased reliance on imports ⚠️Higher electricity costs (+14.5%) ⚠️Rising carbon emissions (+23%) ⚡Portugal leads with innovative regulation: simplified permitting and allowance for 20% capacity increases during repowering ⚡Economic analysis shows repowering is more profitable than greenfield development ⚡ Early repowering demonstrates superior economics, with higher NPV and IRR Without strategic renewal, Portugal risks higher electricity prices and increased carbon emissions, but the economic case for repowering is clear—offering both CAPEX savings and improved production from existing sites. The complete press release is available on the website: https://lnkd.in/eDmUqpUd Contact Eva Plana for more information on our Iberian analytics offering [eva.plana@auroraer.com] #EnergyTransition #WindEnergy #RenewableEnergy #Portugal #EnergyResearch