The National Bureau of Asian Research

ASIA POLICY ADVANCE RELEASE roundtable examines the current state of the challenges North Korea poses to regional and global security from different vantage points. https://bit.ly/46xYsnN #KimJongun #nuclearweapons #nuclearmissile #nuclear #nuclearproliferation #IndoPacific #WMD #NorthKorea

NEW NBR REPORT edited by April A. Herlevi examines Melanesia’s unique security challenges, assesses the impact of U.S.-China strategic competition, and explores options for Melanesian nations to manage increased attention from external actors. https://bit.ly/4cREy9H #SolomonIslands #Melanesia #china #securityarchitecture

"For Japan, Russia’s aggression toward Ukraine was a clear violation of state sovereignty and territorial integrity, which are the very basis of the existing international order. Even though the geographic scope of the Quad is the Indo-Pacific, given its primary objective as described above, diplomatic coordination among the four member states against Russia became imperative, despite India’s lukewarm response." | Kei Koga https://bit.ly/49kng3v #Japan #Russia #Quad #UkraineWar

Op-ed by Oriana Skylar Mastro in The New York Times: "I'm convinced that if the United States were to take a more assertive stance in the South China Sea, Beijing would be likely to back down to avoid a war it knows it would lose." https://lnkd.in/gvX9fXTt #philippines #SecondThomasShoal #SouthChinaSea

"To understand the progression of Chinese views, and more recent debates among U.S., Japanese and Chinese strategists, we must trace this lineage of strategic ideas that stretches back more than a century," write Andrew Erickson and NBR nonresident fellow Joel Wuthnow. https://lnkd.in/gZ_AYdt2

Yu-cheng Chen (National Defense University in Taiwan) examines the April 2023 military exercises by the People's Liberation Army (PLA) in the vicinity of Taiwan, explores the PLA’s concept of military deterrence, and assesses the impact on Taiwan’s threat perception. https://lnkd.in/gc27gKMH #deterrence #PeoplesLiberationArmy #PLA #Taiwan

NBR report edited by Gwanhoo Lee and Doug Strub assesses the current state of U.S.-ROK cooperation on export controls, artificial intelligence, and data policy; identifies challenges and barriers to greater collaboration; and proposes practical options for policymakers and businesses in both countries to advance their common interests. Experts from the United States and South Korea have collaborated on each chapter, first presenting the U.S. and ROK perspectives on a given topic, followed by a jointly authored conclusion with a set of policy options. https://bit.ly/3T6nnbG #exportcontrols #artificialintelligence #datapolicy

NBR advisor Evans Revere: “The U.S.-ROK alliance has never been stronger and more capable than it is today, and that alliance will remain so until the end of President Biden’s term next year”: https://lnkd.in/gNk-igu6 #USROKalliance

"China could also develop technologies unknown to the United States due to a lack of access to its ecosystem, which could put the United States in a detrimental position. Beijing has done this once before, when Washington restricted shipments of Intel Xeon processors to China’s supercomputers in 2015. Only one year later, China debuted the world’s fastest supercomputer made without U.S. chips. Instead of going down this path again, the United States and its allies need to engage with China to manage risk through monitored yet unrestricted chip exports, which can be turned off entirely if Beijing crosses red lines. Moreover, this policy needs to be developed in conjunction with Taiwan and other allies and partners in Asia." | Jason Hsu and Sam Reynolds: https://bit.ly/46lt8Zh #AI #supercomputers #china #chips #xeon

Michael F. Martin examines how, in retrospect, the military coup in Myanmar in February 2021 was a foreseeable consequence of domestic political dynamics in the country and the misperceptions of the international community about the hybrid civilian-military government. https://bit.ly/3q5upTT #myanmar #politicalcoup