Oval’s Six Nations Championship Simulator predicts Ireland are favourites for back-to-back titles!
Considering strength of schedule, competition form, and - uniquely among rugby prediction models - squad strength, Oval’s analytics team simulated thousands of outcomes of this season’s Six Nations. In 54.6% of these simulated tables, Ireland finished top.
However, no team has ever sandwiched a World Cup with consecutive Six Nations titles, and Ireland face France in Round 1. The winner of this fixture will be favourite for the Championship afterwards; Ireland’s chances of victory will drop below 30% with a loss, France’s below 10%. The jeopardy for both teams is over 40% - it’s game on!
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