“If the war in Ukraine is any guide, the next great-power conflict will be defined by technology adapted from the commercial market. Start-ups will influence how states fund, arm, and marshal their militaries,” Raj Shah and Christopher Kirchhoff write:
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Manufacturing, Defence and Aerospace Industry Advocate, Adviser, Writer, Author, Societal Commentator, and Adventurer.
Australia must share the US sense of urgency on this, and track lessons learned from the Russia and Ukraine War. We cannot sit back and rely on AUKUS to save our bacon in a worst-case scenario! South Korea and Hanwha particularly are watching these trends very closely--working hard to offer a variety of legacy and emerging technologies to stay ahead of evolving threats. We need to develop a whole range of (ASEAN?) based Statecraft initiatives, to partner, learn and engage with regional industrial capability.
New tech will make tomorrow’s wars more dangerous to troops, Army says
defenseone.com
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First a rattle, then invasion? Time to fund more space offenses, defenses and hypersonics to ward this off. https://lnkd.in/dhE6FnBD
Chinese Rocket Launch Rattles Taiwan
thedrive.com
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Strategic Data Architect & Defense Expert | Data-Centric Security (DCS) | Data Management and Governance | Advanced Analytics | Speaker & Trainer
🌍 Thrilled to share the NATO Defense College's latest insightful publication: "What if...? 12 Dragon King scenarios for 2028" 🚀 As someone who has served as an intelligence officer for many years, I find the "What if" scenarios presented in this report to be a fascinating brainstorm that underlines the necessity of viewing each scenario as a potential threat that demands our attention and preparation. These scenarios, ranging from geopolitical tensions to environmental disasters, are not mere speculations but are carefully crafted to prompt us to think critically about future threats. The diversity and complexity of these scenarios underscore the importance of strategic foresight and preparedness in intelligence and defense planning. Of particular note is the timeline of events detailed in the early pages of the report, which, in my experience, is far from arbitrary. These dates and the sequence of events serve as a crucial roadmap for anticipating and navigating the multifaceted challenges that lie ahead. It's a stark reminder that the future is uncertain, but not unpreparable. This publication is a must-read, that I have already started, for anyone interested in the intricacies of global security and the art of 'thinking the unthinkable.' It reaffirms my belief in the critical role of intelligence and strategic foresight in shaping our responses to potential future threats. Let's dive into these scenarios, explore the implications, and prepare ourselves for a future that demands our utmost vigilance and adaptability. 🌟 I want to extend my heartfelt thanks to all the writers and contributors at the NATO Defense College for this publication. Your efforts in shedding light on these critical issues are invaluable and much appreciated. 👏 #Geopolitics #NationalSecurity #FutureScenarios #StrategicForesight #NATO #Intelligence
What if…? 🐲👑 Take a look at the first issue of the Future Series: Zeroes in on possible future developments that matter to NATO outside of specific wars and conflicts. https://lnkd.in/dAYZRpBA #Research #Future
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Russia’s “cutting-edge” Su-57 fighter jet, known to NATO as the “Felon,” was intended to rival the supremacy of the US F-22 and F-35. Yet, its performance in the Ukraine conflict has unearthed a host of technical and structural issues. While the Su-57 boasts impressive speed and advanced technology, it falls short in stealth capabilities compared to its Western counterparts. Reports suggest that the Felon is facing significant challenges, including vulnerabilities to advanced air defenses and electronic warfare. Additionally, production delays and logistical hurdles have further hampered its operational effectiveness. As Russia’s most advanced fighter, the Felon’s underwhelming performance in Ukraine raises critical questions about its future role and effectiveness in modern aerial combat. - Michela Miglio for Aleph AS https://lnkd.in/dmgp9Z9m
The Su-57 - All Hype, No Thrills?
alephas.org
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Professor of Strategy at Naval War College | National Security, Foreign Policy, Policy Analysis Expert
In another piece on the contemporary defense industrial base, I write about the lessons we are learning from the war in Ukraine. Multiple defense industries, with distinct political economic characteristics, are essential to a war of this scale. Procuring and managing commodities like munitions or “tech” like Starlink and AI looks very different from traditional platform-centered industry (tanks, planes, etc.). I conclude by predicting US privileges in each arms market, albeit by different means; that European focus on commodity munitions will cede other markets to the US; and that China may not seek to compete with US tech so much as disrupt it in the battlefield. https://lnkd.in/ebN_4__8
Horses, nails, and messages: Three defense industries of the Ukraine war
tandfonline.com
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Now in its third year, the war in Ukraine continues to rage, with no end in sight. As news of a potential Russian conscription effort and congressional Ukrainian funding vote after Easter looms, the resolve of the Ukrainian people will once again be put to the test to resist Russian aggression amidst a broader rethink of both global and European regional security. Ben Brooks, Joe Soules, and I have taken a close look at how the conflict has evolved and how the defense-industrial base can prioritize and operationalize improvements to reinvigorate the arsenal of democracy. In our latest Aerospace and Defense minute, we explore the state of the conflict, the types of systems deployed, and their evolution. We offer our thoughts on what defense contractors - new and old - can do TODAY to best support the rapidly evolving needs of the modern warfighter. Read our A&D latest minute for the latest #Alixpartners Aerospace & Defense perspective on how defense contractors can accelerate, plan, and prepare for 2024 and beyond. #UkraineConflict #DefenseIndustry #ModernWarfare #aerospace #defense
The A&D Minute: World War I with drones
insights.alixpartners.com
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China analyst / autor / OSINT / Former NATO Rapid Response Force / attorney - Founder extremarationews.com
Before the end of the year, the AUKUS nations will field a new “trilateral algorithm” allowing them to share information from P-8 sonobuoys between each other, the first piece of tangible AUKUS Pillar II technology to hit the field. It might seem small, but that capability is exactly the kind of synergising, forward-moving tech that the trilateral agreement between the United States, Untied Kingdom and Australia is after, according to Michael Horowitz, the Pentagon’s Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Force Development and Emerging Capabilities. https://lnkd.in/dQ2YrXDp
P-8 'trilateral algorithm' to hit field this year, as AUKUS Pillar II eyes quantum clocks, AI projects - Breaking Defense
breakingdefense.com
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Harnessing Commercial Technology for Future Wars: The Lessons from Ukraine - by Lt. Gen. D.S. Hooda Read: cutt.ly/1eRPbRdT Historically, defence-related research and development (R&D) has been the primary driver of technological advancements, but the centre of technological innovation has now moved significantly to private companies. This brief highlights how modern warfare is increasingly influenced by commercial technology, using the ongoing war in Ukraine as a case study. #defencetechnology #Ukraine #Internationalaffairs
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#SpaceDomainNormsOfBehavior 🚀 A rare "no-notice" space launch. Iran's 14 Sep 2024 launch of the Chamran 1 satellite on the solid-fueled Qaem 100 rocket was a rare instance of a "no notice" space launch. There was not a Notice to Airmen and Mariners (NOTAM) issued. Iran and North Korea are the only two space-launch capable countries who are not signatories to the The Hague Code of Conduct against Ballistic Missile Proliferation (HCoC) (ref https://www.hcoc.at/). Resolves to a hcoc.at URL. Such notifications prior to launch mitigate potential false alarms of a missile weapons launch. ❓ Historians and policy folks: would like to learn and understand more. The HCOC has only existed since 2002. What preceded the HCOC and governed US and Soviet launch notifications during the Cold War???
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