International Crisis Group

Relations between Ethiopia and its neighbour Eritrea have deteriorated in recent months, raising fears of a new war between the countries. The last thing the Horn of Africa needs is more conflict. Fortunately, there is still time and space for concerted diplomacy. Those positioned to play a mediating role should move with urgency to do so. Our new Conflict Alert looks at what can be done to reduce tensions and defuse the threat of more destructive violence in the region. https://lnkd.in/eQwFYtFW

🚨 International Crisis Group lance « Zones de tensions », une nouvelle newsletter trimestrielle en français.   Alors que les conflits violents font rage et que l’ordre mondial est mis à rude épreuve, Zones de tensions vise à offrir à notre public francophone une sélection de nos derniers rapports, podcasts et contenus multimédias en français. Cette première édition – qui s’appuie sur l’expertise de terrain et les analyses indépendantes de nos chercheurs à travers le monde – s'intéresse notamment à la situation en #Haïti où les gangs continuent de renforcer leur emprise, au conflit dans l’est de la #RDC, au tournant souverainiste au #Mali et aux tensions diplomatiques entre le #Maroc et l’#Algérie.   Pour vous abonner à Zones de tensions et à nos actualités en français: https://lnkd.in/gqMvjWt Pour consulter la première édition: https://lnkd.in/eYtKSsUE

NEW VISUAL EXPLAINER | How a New Drug Trafficking Landscape Fuels Violence in Latin America https://lnkd.in/eGYsDjTD Impressive work by my colleagues Elizabeth Dickinson, Claire Boccon-Gibod and Paul Franz. *Best viewed on desktop.

The ramifications of Donald Trump’s expulsions are still unwinding and may be a harbinger of further measures. But who is being deported and why does it matter? We explain. On 15 March, the White House announced that President Donald Trump was invoking the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 in response to what the administration terms “irregular warfare” waged by a criminal network known as Tren de Aragua, which it alleges follows the orders of President Nicolás Maduro’s government in Venezuela. The State Department has also designated Tren de Aragua as a foreign terrorist organisation on 19 February. Three flights carrying 238 Venezuelan deportees (as well as 23 Salvadorans) landed at San Salvador airport on the night of Trump’s announcement. Of the Venezuelans, 137 were deported under the terms of the Alien Enemies Act, according to the White House. El Salvador is to be paid to incarcerate them for at least a year in a notorious maximum-security jail. In our latest Q&A, we unpack the origins of Tren de Aragua and the political fallout from these deportations. https://lnkd.in/eiAxbgkX

The Sudanese Armed Forces may retake Khartoum but don’t expect a decisive end to the war. Shewit Woldemichael explains why peace talks are the only way out of Sudan’s nightmarish two-year civil war. https://lnkd.in/eJ4VYQFc

How do conflicts end? And what happens when the traditional tools of #peacemaking no longer work? @Comfort Ero is President and CEO of International Crisis Group, which promotes #peace through research, #dialogue and #policy advice, in more than 70 current conflicts worldwide. International #coooperation is at a crossroads - but it remains essential for addressing shared challenges. The Global Cooperation Barometer 2025 offers a comprehensive assessment, as well as strategies for renewing #collective action. Read it here: https://ow.ly/yB3y50VnpMB #Peacebuilding #Geopolitics

NEW EPISODE | Hold Your Fire! This week, we discuss the breakdown of the Gaza ceasefire, the likely effect on Palestinians in Gaza and the goals of Israel’s renewed military campaign. https://lnkd.in/eVkE23wE

🗞️ This Week in Conflict | Stopping Israel’s War in Gaza A ceasefire that brought welcome respite to war-torn Gaza has been broken. On 18 March, Israel resumed bombing Gaza, upending a two-month ceasefire. Our experts explain why it is vital that the U.S. should insist on restoring the truce and endorse the Arab League plan for Gaza as the basis for a more permanent peace. Over half a century on from the declaration of a “war on drugs”, the map of the drug trade in Latin America has been transformed and is fueling violence across the region. We bring that sprawling criminal ecosystem and evolving drug trade to life in our latest visual explainer. Elsewhere, our latest briefing unpacks the conflict in Myanmar’s Chin State, the humanitarian crisis, and the efforts to heal the deep rifts between anti-regime armed groups that ejected the military from the state.

“The events we are seeing suggest the Sudanese army is on the cusp of retaking Khartoum. The writing is on the wall. This is a really huge turning point.” Horn of Africa Director Alan Boswell explains recent developments in #Sudan’s capital on CNN.

Across Latin America, surges of bloodshed have marked the new hubs of a fast-shifting, hyper-violent drug trade. We unpack how the drug trade and its sprawling criminal ecosystem have changed over the last half-century. https://lnkd.in/ecFF3XzN