FocusEconomics

💲 Covid-19 walloped the public finances of sub-Saharan Africa. With several governments, including those of Cameroon, Senegal and South Africa, presenting their budgets for 2025, our Consensus suggests officials in the region will keep striving to gradually trim fiscal deficits ahead. 🤔 Interested in reading more about our Consensus forecasts for sub-Saharan African economies? Find out more here: https://lnkd.in/dZZyvKuH #SubSaharanAfrica #COVID19Impact #FiscalDeficits #EconomicForecasts

🔻 Our Consensus for GDP growth in Asia (excluding Japan) in 2025 is 4.4%, significantly below the 5.7% per year seen on average in 2010–2019. 🦠 Asian economies rebounded strongly from the Covid-19 pandemic, but are unlikely to grow as quickly in the future as they did before the virus broke out in 2020.   💡 Ageing populations, the slowing of catch-up growth, and rising trade barriers will all conspire to maim the region's economies.   📈 Interested in learning more? With over 300 panelists, our Consensus forecast helps to cut out individual forecast errors and provide a more reliable forecast. Find out more here: https://lnkd.in/dcb3snv5 #GDP #AsiaEconomy #EconomicForecast #GrowthChallenges

In our latest insight piece, we examine the structural and cyclical challenges that the German economy faces. #GermanEconomy #Germany #EconomicInsights #EconomicTrends

On 23 February, Europe's largest economy heads to its first snap federal elections in nearly 20 years. The poll is set to confirm that the star of the political right continues to rise in Europe, with a victory likely for the conservative CDU/CSU. The alliance, as well as cutting taxes and relaxing green regulations, has—under pressure from a surge in support for the far-right AfD—pledged to cut down on welfare and immigration. Our economist Afonso Alves Monteiro has more in our latest insight piece. #GermanyElections #CDU #AfD #ImmigrationPolicy #Election2025 https://lnkd.in/dt7-Ycd8

In our latest insight piece, we examine how the Eurozone’s key economic barometers—GDP, inflation, interest rates and unemployment—evolved in 2024, and what our Consensus Forecast is for these indicators in 2025 and the next decade.

Since Trump was re-elected on 5 November, the outlook for GDP growth in 2025 has remained broadly stable for most large Latin American economies. Mexico is an exception, with the country—which has long been in Trump's firing line—suffering a downgrade of 0.2 percentage points. In the Argentina of Javier Milei—who got a spot at Trump's inauguration on 20 January—our Consensus forecast has, in contrast, been raised by 1.0 percentage points. #Trump #GDPGrowth #LatinAmerica #Mexico #Argentina #Milei #Economy2025 #EconomicOutlook

In recent days, in light of the global bond selloff, our panelists have revised up their forecasts for yields on 10-year government bonds in the UK and U.S.

In our latest insight piece, we look at the top-10 fastest growing economies in 2025 according to our analysts.

In our latest newsletter, we look at recent inflation trends and the outlook for 2025.

Ghanaian banknotes are worth 8.2% more than a month ago compared to the greenback. Nonetheless, economists have cut their forecasts for the currency at the end of 2025 over the past month. Why? It's a story of two presidents: Although John Mahama swept to victory in Ghanaian elections on 7 December, boosting the Ghanaian cedi by clamping down on political uncertainty, the outlook for the currency was overcast by the long shadow of Donald Trump, who also swept to victory a month earlier. Trump's likely tariffs are set to bolster the U.S. dollar and hurt emerging-market currencies ahead.   Want to know what our Consensus forecasts are for sub-Saharan currencies? Read more here: https://lnkd.in/dgaTN-53