Tina Fordham is a leading geopolitical strategist and the founder of Fordham Global Foresight, an independent London-based consultancy advising institutional investors and the C-Suite about geopolitical risk at the intersection of social change. As the first Chief Global Political Analyst on Wall Street and previously Head of Global Political Risk at Eurasia Group, Tina has over 25 years’ experience advising senior leaders—from prime ministers and 3-star generals to the C-suite, institutional investors and the United Nations—about the implications of global political, security and socio-economic developments. Fordham Global Foresight Clients are typically boards, investment committees and managing partners from the following industries: Legal & Accountancy, Insurers, Hedge Funds, Private Equity, Asset Managers, Family Offices, Corporate & Investment Banks. Fordham Global Foresight can provide: Global Political Outlook Briefings A forward-looking, data-driven, comprehensive overview of the key geopolitical and socio-economic themes impacting the business and investment outlook with actionable recommendations. Geopolitical Masterclasses Building Your Leadership Team’s GPQ: Sessions training business leaders and decision-makers in techniques for reading the political risk “tea leaves” needed to navigate a volatile business environment and developing your leadership team’s “GPQ”—Geopolitical Quotient. Quarterly/Bi-annual Bespoke Briefings Quarterly/bi-annual bespoke, interactive geopolitical business Intelligence workshops tailored to the risks your business is most exposed to. Bespoke Creation of Analytical Frameworks Bespoke creation of analytical frameworks and indices integrating political, security and socio-economic factors. Keynote Speeches Keynote speeches, client events and CEO dinners. Get in touch to find out more.
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US Elections Countdown: Signals/Noise and the Developments In Between #USElections2024 #2024Election #Vote2024 #ElectionDay #AmericaDecides #USPolitics #PresidentialElection #YourVoteMatters #Decision2024 #ElectionWatch #DemocracyInAction #EveryVoteCounts #Trump #Harris #KamalaHarris #DonaldTrump
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As the 2024 election cycle heats up, a new dynamic is emerging: billionaire influencers like Elon Musk are becoming major forces in U.S. politics. With Kamala Harris attracting support from high-profile figures, and Trump’s age a topic of conversation, the landscape is evolving rapidly. Musk’s appeal, especially among investors, is shaping a narrative that could bring figures like J.D. Vance into the political spotlight. But where does this leave cultural icons like Taylor Swift and Beyonce, whose influence is vast but perhaps less action-focused? I explore how this shift could impact not only the investor community but all Americans as we approach 2024. Are we entering a new era where financial and cultural icons hold sway in politics, or is this a trend that will ultimately fade? #USPolitics #2024Election #ElonMusk #BillionaireInfluence #KamalaHarris #PoliticalChange #InvestmentTrends #PoliticalCommentary #Election2024 #SocialMediaInfluence #Trump #DonaldTrump #Harris
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How can business leaders make sense of the blizzard of information and conflicting signals about US elections? I enjoyed discussing everything from our “New Geopolitical Risk Supercycle” thesis to the prospect of election interference and the outlook for inflation and public debt under either President Harris or Trump with David Sol, Global Head of Policy at FTSE Russell, An LSEG Business. Watch the interview to find out more. I’m excited to be working with David on FTSE Russell’s new 3-part Geopolitics series—watch this space! Fordham Global Foresight is proud to partner with LSEG (London Stock Exchange Group) on our Navigator digital playbook series as well.
In the first episode of our three-part FTSE Russell Convenes ‘geopolitical’ series, Tina Fordham, independent global political strategist and Founder of Fordham Global Foresight discusses the upcoming U.S. Presidential elections. Watch the full video to hear Tina’s views on the polls, the ‘race’ from investor perspectives, and the acceleration in, and impact of, drivers of geopolitical risk: https://lseg.group/3UpLOCu
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How the US election affects the rest of the world - The Big View It was such a pleasure to spend time with Peter Thal Larsen on the Big View podcast discussing what the U.S. presidential election means for the rest of the planet. We went around the world in 30 minutes, from China to Venezuela, European security to the the Middle East, Russia Ukraine and more. I highlighted the scenario that I've really been trying to focus minds on which is a disrupted or disputed election outcome leading to an extended period, possibly months up until the inauguration, January 20th, of volatility or something worse. And that is not just a tail risk, it's a material probability when you look at the state of play in the U.S. How the US election affects the rest of the world: podcast | Reuters : click the link to listen to the full podcast : https://lnkd.in/drsYj2CD #USElection2024 #GlobalImpact #Geopolitics #TheBigView #USPolitics #PoliticalRisk #ElectionOutcomes #GlobalSecurity #USForeignPolicy #ElectionUncertainty #ChinaRelations #MiddleEast #RussiaUkraine #GlobalStability #PodcastInsights #InternationalRelations #WorldPolitics #PoliticalVolatility #ElectionWatch #FutureOfDemocracy
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The Market's Blind Spot on US Elections. #USElection #TinaFordham #Trump #WallStreet #WomenVoters #Election2024 #PoliticalAnalysis #InvestorInsights #ElectionCountdown #TrumpSupporters #HarrisSupporters #USPolitics #MarketImpacts #Polls2024 #CorporateAmerica #FemaleVoters #Harris #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris
Fordham Global Foresight reposted this
In the first episode of our three-part FTSE Russell Convenes ‘geopolitical’ series, Tina Fordham, independent global political strategist and Founder of Fordham Global Foresight discusses the upcoming U.S. Presidential elections. Watch the full video to hear Tina’s views on the polls, the ‘race’ from investor perspectives, and the acceleration in, and impact of, drivers of geopolitical risk: https://lseg.group/3UpLOCu
Fordham Global Foresight reposted this
Wall Street is not paying enough attention to Women voters. Great to start such an important week with CNBC's Dominic Chu in the US discussing the upcoming US election. With just 8 days to go I told Dominic that I'm concerned that the polls are undercounting Harris supporters partly because they're overcorrecting for having undercounted Trump supporters in 2016. I think this election is much more a function of gender than we've seen in some time. In 2016 the sense that the 'left behind men' were undercounted was a factor and I think in this election when it comes to what Wall Street thinks, they're not paying enough attention to women. However, my main concern is a peaceful transfer of power - a lot of what we're seeing are market participants trying to help bring about an outcome that is their preferred outcome, which is Trump in the Whitehouse. I don't think Billionaire Oligarchs are what US business and investors need in the medium to long term even if certain sectors might benefit. #CNBC #USElection #WomenVoters #WallStreet #Election2024 #USPolitics #Trump #GenderAndPolitics #PoliticalAnalysis #TrumpSupporters #HarrisSupporters #WomenInElections #MarketImpacts #PoliticalRisk #GenderInElections #VoterUndercounting #ElectionCountdown #MarketInfluence #InvestorInsights #BusinessAndPolitics #PoliticalStability #TrumpIn2024 #ElectionImplications #Harris #HarrisIn2024
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UK business is on edge this week in anticipation of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ first budget on Wednesday. I spoke to Christian Fraser at the BBC to discuss what aspects of the government’s proposed policies UK business is enthusiastic about, and what I think this budget needs to communicate. #UKBudget2024 #RachelReeves #BBCInterview #UKBusiness #EconomicOutlook #PolicyMatters #ChancellorsBudget #BusinessInsights #UKEconomy #BudgetWeek
October Navigator: Key Geopolitical Risks to Watch Fordham Global Foresight’s Founder, Tina Fordham, highlights two major geopolitical risks that could have a significant impact on markets: escalating tensions in the Middle East and U.S. election volatility. Middle East Conflict: The ongoing cycle of retaliation between Israel and Iran remains a concern. While the likelihood of Israel striking Iran’s nuclear facilities has diminished, the possibility of strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure still poses a risk. U.S. Election Surprise: As the 2024 U.S. elections approach, market surprises remain a real possibility—especially if investors expecting a Trump victory are faced with a Harris win, an outcome that Fordham notes is entirely plausible. Watch the clip for key insights from Fordham on how these risks could unfold. Watch the clip now! #Geopolitics #MiddleEastConflict #USElections2024 #MarketRisks #IsraelIranConflict #EnergyInfrastructure #ElectionVolatility #GlobalMarkets #PoliticalRisk #InvestmentStrategy #Election2024 #GeopoliticalRisk #USPolitics #Trump2024 #Harris2024 #MiddleEastTensions #GlobalEconomy #EconomicForecast #TrumpVsHarris
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US Election Polling Data in Focus//Battleground States: The Key to Victory in 2024 In last week’s episode of The Navigator, I explored the razor-thin margins in this year’s U.S. election. With the key battleground states all within the statistical margin of error—just one to three points—the focus is now on voter turnout. Both campaigns are doing everything they can to mobilize their supporters, and every vote could be the deciding factor. Early voting has already begun in several states, so the race is truly on. Watch the clip for my analysis and insights into what could tip the scales in this election. #USElections2024 #PoliticalRisk #Geopolitics #TheNavigator #Election2024 #LondonStockExchangeGroup #VoterTurnout #ElectionStrategy #BattlegroundStates #SwingStates #CloseRace #GeopoliticalRisk #EveryVoteCounts #ElectionForecast #USPolitics #Trump #Harris