Haver Analytics

🌐 Great opportunity connecting at this year’s Institute of International Finance Annual Membership Meeting in Washington, DC. As longstanding partners with IIF, we're proud to support their mission while showcasing Haver's powerful data solutions that drive impactful insights. This year’s 'Thriving in Turbulence' theme gathered influential voices from finance, policy, and technology, sparking critical discussions on sustainable finance, digital innovation, and the future of global growth. We’re excited to deepen the connections we made and continue empowering clients with the data they need to navigate an evolving world. 🌍

Charts of the Week: Revisions, Risks, Reforms, Repeat In the absence of incoming data that might have influenced the economic outlook, the financial press has been dominated by other factors, including Q3 corporate earnings reports and US politics. This week’s IMF meetings in Washington have additionally grabbed headlines and particularly the accompanying reports on the global economic outlook and financial market stability. In our charts this week we focus on: ⚡️The IMF’s latest economic forecasts ⚡️US and European policy uncertainty ⚡️South Korea’s trade ⚡️The energy transition (and the UK) ⚡️The fiscal/monetary policy mix ⚡️Infrastructure ratings Read the full release here: https://lnkd.in/gHZcwp_b Also, in today's podcast episode, Andrew Cates discusses the outlook for the Indian economy with Sharmila Whelan, the founder of Westbourne Research and a seasoned Global Geopolitical-Macro Strategist. Key areas that are addressed include:  📣The sustainability of India’s growth trajectory  📣The impact of recent structural reforms on improving India’s business environment and investment climate 📣How investors presently perceive India’s economic prospects 📣The broader global economic outlook and the IMF’s latest economic forecasts. Listen here: https://lnkd.in/eMkbWytW

Read our latest Charts of the Week 'Following the leader' here: https://lnkd.in/gHZcwp_b A soft landing narrative has continued to shape sentiment in financial markets over recent days, supported by several factors. These include upbeat corporate earnings news, a sharp drop in oil prices, weaker-than-expected inflation data and US labour market resilience. In our charts this week we focus on: ➡️Oil prices and yields ➡️UK inflation ➡️China and traded goods price inflation ➡️EM portfolio flows ➡️The euro area banking sector ➡️Global equity sector performance Download the free PDF here: https://lnkd.in/gPbkdsH7 Listen to the latest podcast episode here: https://lnkd.in/gknqZcJB

Economic Letter From Asia: Reality Check In this week’s letter, we examine the reactions of China’s equity markets following the Golden Week holidays, highlighting investors' disappointment over the latest stimulus announcements. Nonetheless, forecasters have slightly raised their growth expectations for China, although pessimism lingers regarding the economy's 5% growth target. We also discuss recent developments in monetary policy, highlighting the numerous easing cycles initiated across Asia, with further easing measures anticipated later this week. View the full commentary and charts here: https://lnkd.in/eDq_PnpX Written by Woon Tian Yong, Economist at Haver Analytics

Latest Charts of the Week: Fed up with surprises Last week’s stronger-than-expected US employment report have combined with some comments from FOMC members suggesting the Fed may be in no great hurry to reduce interest rates next year to generate a big repricing in financial markets over the past few days. Geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East and the plight of China’s economy have additionally been a key focus for many investors. In our charts this week we home in on: 🔎US data surprises and the Fed 🔎Supply chain pressures and inflation 🔎China’s economic outlook 🔎Electricity prices in Germany and the US 🔎The global economic cycle 🔎The Blue Chip growth consensus for 2025 View the charts and commentary here: https://lnkd.in/gHZcwp_b Grab the free PDF version here: https://lnkd.in/e9kdgTgC ⭐️ Did you know we also do a weekly podcast? Listen to the latest episode here: https://lnkd.in/eHqPfKx9

Economic Letter From Asia: A Golden Week In this week’s newsletter, we explore regional monetary policy, China’s Golden Week holidays, and Japan’s political landscape. Many Asian central banks held rates steady in September despite the Fed’s 50 bps cut, but the RBNZ and possibly the BoK may soon lower rates. The recent trend toward disinflation could face some setbacks from geopolitical flare-ups in the Middle East. In China, easing measures have spurred optimism, though early signs of price consolidation have emerged in Hong Kong during Golden Week holidays in the Mainland. Read the full release here: https://lnkd.in/eDq_PnpX Download the free PDF: https://lnkd.in/g9A6nVWW Written by Woon Tian Yong, Economist at Haver Analytics

Latest Charts of the week: Geopolitical scarring In our podcast this week we discuss the European economic outlook with George Buckley, Nomura’s Chief European Economist. We home in on a number of topics including this week’s euro area inflation data, the broader outlook for the euro area and UK, as well as what needs to be done to repair some of the structural fault-lines. We touch too on the escalation of geopolitical turbulence in the Middle East and how this is challenging the status quo. Listen to the podcast episode featuring George Buckley here: https://lnkd.in/eVcvstex Elsewhere, in our Charts of the Week publication we focus on the following: ⚡️The policy rate consensus ⚡️The US labour market ⚡️Oil prices and geopolitical risks ⚡️Oil prices and productivity ⚡️De-globalisation pressures ⚡️Indebtedness and interest rates Read the full commentary here: https://lnkd.in/gHZcwp_b Written by Andrew Cates, Senior Economist at Haver Analytics

Haver Analytics at NABE 66th Annual Meeting 🌟 In the vibrant setting of Nashville, TN—Music City—we had a rewarding three days reconnecting with clients, meeting new faces, and showcasing our latest data offerings. A big thank you to the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) for an outstanding event with a fantastic turnout. See you next year!

Economic Letter From Asia: Easing Measures In this week's newsletter, we explore key developments in Asia, particularly focusing on China’s recent easing measures announced last week. These measures come just before China’s Golden Week holidays and amidst disappointing economic data. While initial market reactions have been positive, scepticism lingers due to the limited time for these measures to help China achieve its 5% growth target. Additionally, we discuss events in Australia following the RBA’s rate hold, the BoJ’s latest remarks in Japan, and notable developments in Japan’s political landscape. Read the full release with charts here: https://lnkd.in/eDq_PnpX Download the free PDF here: https://lnkd.in/e8mxu7Uw Written by Woon Tian Yong, Economist at Haver Analytics

Charts of the Week: Almost Singing the Same Tune The incoming data over this week have painted a more downbeat picture of the global economic outlook. But despite these weaker signals, financial markets have taken this news in their stride, possibly due to growing confidence that central banks will still manage to engineer a soft landing for the global economy. In our charts this week we home in on: 📌The global business cycle 📌US and European consumer confidence 📌The UK manufacturing sector 📌Policy stimulus initiatives from China 📌Goods and services inflation in advanced economies 📌AI and work automation Read the full release and view the charts here: https://lnkd.in/gHZcwp_b Download the free PDF here: https://lnkd.in/eDfTjfDi Written by Andrew Cates, Senior Economist at Haver Analytics