Wilson Center Latin America Program’s Post

🇪🇺 After the vote, what’s next ? The recent elections have reshaped Brussels political landscape. What do these political changes actually mean? Our Brussels team answers it in the new edition of the “The Brussels Compass”  📩 🔍 In this special update, you will find : ✅Key upcoming steps in the European political calendar 🔍 ✅ Overview of election results 📊  ✅ Reflective analysis by Gilles Savary on nationalism in the European Parliament and its implications for the EU agenda and Brussels actions ⚖️ 🇪🇺 Crafted by our talented team : Laurence Leclercq Marie-Estelle Gontier Emma HISEL Andrea Montarolo Christopher Cardona Chloé AMY Andréas Dagannaud Delisle Quentin Dorn 💡 Get in touch at brussels@eurosagency.eu to stay ahead and discuss seizing opportunities in this evolving landscape 🚀 #EuropeanElections #Brussels #EU2024 #PublicAffairs #Newsletter

#VantageOnFirstpost Will French Elections Trigger Another Euro Crisis? | Vantage with Palki Sharma The political earthquake in France could be snowballing into the next Euro crisis amid fears of a far-right or far-left surge. Both sides have promised additional spending that could balloon France's already-high government debt. Palki Sharma tells you how the French elections could affect the European economy. --- European Union | Euro Crisis | Emmanuel Macron | France | Elections 2024 | Far-right | Marine Le Pen | Firstpost | World News | News Live | Vantage | Palki Sharma | News #euro #crisis #europeanunion #macron #france #elections2024 #farright #marinelepen #firstpost #vantageonfirstpost #palkisharma #worldnews

One of the world's largest democratic exercises takes place this weekend with approximately 373 million people across the European Union eligible to vote in the elections for the next European Parliament. As we look forward to the new mandate, EPRA's 2024-2029 manifesto presents key recommendations from the listed real estate sector to position Europe as a leader in long-term investments and drive the green transition. 🔸 Our EU Elections 2024 dedicated page here: https://bit.ly/4ccWevR 🔸 Discover how real estate shapes your future: https://bit.ly/3XckjOS 🔸 Read our manifesto below to learn more about how we are #BuildingEU #EUelections2024 #EPRA #GreenTransition #InvestInEurope #UseYourVote

Are we losing the battle against #disinformation? In Central Europe, the competition is real. More than 50% of respondents in #Hungary struggle to know if their news about domestic politics, the war in Ukraine, and energy prices is accurate. 41% in the Czech Republic and Hungary believe the information war is only an excuse for Western governments to restrict freedom of speech. Compelling research from the Central European Digital Media Observatory ( CEDMO ) on #misinformation themes before European Parliament elections this week mirrors trends affecting politics in #Georgia and other countries with elections in 2024. When more than half of Hungarians are dissatisfied with how their own democracy functions, along with 4 of 10 from the Czech Republic and Slovakia, will voters have confidence in any #elections results? #internationaldevelopment #medialiteracy #mediadevelopment Full Research Briefs: https://lnkd.in/etnCQghs

New research paper is out! 📢 Wojciech Burek, Rita Hornok and Natasza Styczynska from Jagiellonian University focus on democratic backsliding in relation to restrictions on access to information in Hungary and the organisation of the presidential elections in Poland amid the pandemic. Read more about it here 👉 : https://lnkd.in/dckAyg5F #pandemicpolitics #regroup #covid19research #horizoneu #horizoneurope #postpandemic

10 June 2024 EUROPEAN ELECTIONS Don’t be taken away by the French baiser sur la joue!  The European elections caused a political earthquake in France and led to a predictable shift to the Right in the European Parliament. The pivotal party became the People’s Party (it was Renew Europe), marking a significant change in the political landscape. However, the anticipated wave towards the Far Right did not materialise. Top EU positions can easily find the necessary support of the existing four-party alliance. Ursula von der Leyen is closer to being confirmed for a second term as President of the Commission. Broadening the current alliance to the ECR or just Meloni’s Brothers of Italy looks tricky, although not impossible. Despite today’s hit on European assets, market worries are excessive. Over time, the focus will move to the possible shift in policy priorities. (check with me for full commentary; institutional investors only) #europeanelections #EUpolicies #EUpolitics

❗ EuropeanIssuers is thrilled to present its Key Messages for the #EuropeanElections! The incoming elections on 6-9 June 2024 will be crucial for the future of the #EuropeanUnion. 🗳 ✏ 🔸 We urge policymakers and political parties to implement the identified priorities in order to fortify Europe’s #economy and its companies. Read the publication here below or at this link: https://lnkd.in/ecq63Yxi.

In line with our long-held expectation, the centrist and pro-European incumbent coalition held on to its majority. We believe that this supports our view the #EU will continue to pursue its #GreenDeal albeit with increased focus on preserving European competitiveness. That said, also in line with our core view, right-wing parties surged in the elections, making them more influential players in European politics. Join tomorrow's webinar where we combine insights from our Country and Operational Risk teams as well as industry experts to explore the #election results: https://ow.ly/Wg0j50SfxNH #ConnectedThinking #EUElections #EUPolicy #EuropeanCommission #GreenTransition #PoliticalRisk

28 June 2024 FRENCH ELECTIONS It’s like a box of chocolates: expect the unexpected Remember Forrest Gump? “Life is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you’re gonna get”. It is the same feeling for French elections. The outcome of the first round might well change the behaviour of voters and produce the unexpected in the second ballot. Look not only at the percentage in favour of Macron (below or above 20%) but also how many Ensemble candidates survive and go to the second round. That will be crucial. The fallout of the French elections may be felt across all European asset classes. With a hung parliament in France, the EU/Eurozone would lose the French engine, which spells trouble for the whole monetary union and beyond.   (check with me for full commentary; institutional investors only) #france #elections #governmentbonds

Our latest publication "#Macron’s Electoral Gamble Could Cost Dearly to France and Europe, But Market Discipline May Eventually Be The Strongest Guardrail To A Le Pen Presidency” by Prof. Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini is available on Rosa Roubini Associates' website. In this paper, we discuss: 1. The result of #EU elections confirming the current majority; 2. How the EU #elections led to French parliamentary snap elections; 3. The short-term scenarios: will a possible PM #Bardella moderate? 4. The medium-term outlook: will a President #LePen destroy the EU? 5. How #markets became very nervous, but may eventually impose discipline to Le Pen; 6. Sovereign #bond market: where from here? Read it here: https://lnkd.in/dHv6f6Z