Tin Dugandzic’s Post

DAILY BONUS: (Flashback/Prophesy) - No One Should Want To Win The 2020 Election! *A strange pattern has plagued presidents for the last 180 years. The next election year in that pattern is 2020. Item: The name 'Curse of Tippecanoe' (also known as "Tecumseh's Curse", the "Presidential Curse", "Zero-Year Curse", the "Twenty-Year Curse", or the "Twenty-Year Presidential Jinx") is used to describe the death of Presidents of the United States in office while elected or re-elected in a year ending in "0". Note: In the eyes of many, Donald Trump was (unofficially) re-elected in 2020 - and, of course, Joe Biden was (officially) elected as president of the United States in 2020. https://lnkd.in/ev_cEUK5 ^President William Henry Harrison (elected in 1840) - dies of pneumonia in 1841. ^President Abraham Lincoln (elected in 1860) - assassinated in 1865. ^President James A. Garfield (elected in 1880) - assassinated in 1881. ^President William McKinley (re-elected in 1900) - assassinated in 1901. ^President Warren G. Harding (elected in 1920) - dies of pneumonia in 1923. ^President Franklin D. Roosevelt (re-elected in 1940) - dies of a brain hemorrhage in 1945. ^President John F. Kennedy (elected in 1960) - assassinated in 1963. ^President Ronald Reagan (elected in 1980) - failed 1981 assassination attempt. ^President George W. Bush (elected in 2000) - failed 2005 assassination attempt. ^President Donald Trump (unofficially re-elected in 2020) - failed 2024 assassination attempt. ^President Joe Biden (elected in 2020) - ???? Query: Did the recent [July 2024] assassination attempt on President Trump - from the perspective of the noted 'curse' - give added support that Trump was the actual winner of the 2020 US presidential election?

🇺🇸🗳️🇺🇸🗳️🇺🇸 ❌ Biden has to go before he forgets he is president. In recent times, there has been mounting concern over the fitness of President Joe Biden to lead the nation effectively. These concerns stem primarily from his apparent memory problems, which have become increasingly evident. Firstly, the issue of President Biden's memory problems cannot be ignored. From forgetting crucial details during press conferences to struggling to articulate his thoughts, there are legitimate concerns about his ability to fulfill the duties of the presidency. The recent special report recommending no charges against President Biden has reignited debates about political bias towards Trump. While the scale and context of these investigations differ, it is essential to acknowledge the need for fairness and impartiality in all matters of justice, irrespective of political affiliation. Moreover, the comparison between Democrats' reactions to the Biden investigation and Trump supporters' responses to investigations against the former president are no different. Naming something bias and trying to discredit it because it’s not the outcome you want is never right. President Biden's press conference to address these concerns only served to underscore the seriousness of the issue. It is evident that his struggles with memory and coherence are not isolated incidents but represent a significant challenge to effective leadership. However, amidst these challenges lies an opportunity for the Democratic Party to course-correct. If they are to maintain their credibility and effectively challenge the opposition, they must be willing to confront uncomfortable truths and prioritise the greater good over individual interests. This moment presents a crucial juncture for American democracy and the Democratic Party. The decision to address President Biden's fitness for office and potentially nominate a more moderate and capable candidate could change the outcome of the election drastically from what looks like a trump win. But will they seize this moment to create an election winning campaign around a sensible candidate or will they double down to protect Biden? #us #uselection #biden #trump #Election

President Joe Biden announced yesterday that he is dropping out of the presidential race and will not seek the Democratic nomination for president. The last time a sitting president declined to seek re-election was Lyndon Johnson in 1968. However, this move comes with little surprise to those who have been paying attention to the odds market. In fact, the market “priced in” this decision shortly after Biden’s shaky debate performance with former President Donald Trump just over a month ago. The data series in this #chartoftheweek by James Torgerson tracks the implied probabilities available on the PredictIt website. For most of 2024, odds for Biden or Trump to win the election fluctuated between ~40–55%. Trump gained momentum leading up to the debate as questions surrounding Biden’s capacity to serve another term swirled. Biden’s disastrous performance accelerated Trump’s chances and sent the president’s odds of winning the election into a freefall. Read ”Say It Ain't So, Joe!“ in full here: https://bit.ly/AintSoJoe

MY THOUGHTS: Joe Biden is a good and honorable statesman who has served our country well. He has pride, but he needs to be practical. The world cannot afford to have TRUMP back. Trump's 2025 Federalist Society plan and the acolytes he has lined up for many offices - to do whatever he tells them to do - are downright scary. He has already told us how disastrous his Presidency would be for our Democracy. In addition, Trump's Supreme Court has made many anti-democratic and insane decisions, like a President can do criminal acts as President (e.g., order wiretapping of opponents) and not be held criminally accountable. Biden should withdraw as the candidate and serve out his term with dignity to have the best chance of defeating Trump. The only option is for Vice President Harris to be the Presidential candidate. The VP must be well-spoken and help bring in at least one of the swing states. My recommendation is PA's Governor Shapiro. He is well-liked and has the potential to make a significant impact. There are a few other possibilities—governors and senators: Beshear (Kentucky), Evers (Wisconsin), and Inslee (Washington). It cannot be another woman or African American. Only a few possible Senators( cannot be anyone up for re-election), possibly Bennet and Hickenlooper (Colorado) or Mark Kelly (Arizona) - all quality people. God, please have Joe (& Jill) Biden make the right decision - soon.

In Defense of Joe Biden Remaining on the Ballot Calls for President Joe Biden to step aside from the upcoming election have intensified recently, echoing from both sides of the political aisle. Critics point to his lackluster debate performance and declining public image as grounds for withdrawal. However, before discarding a democratically chosen candidate, it's crucial to scrutinize the motivations behind such demands and their implications for our democratic process. Let’s address the elephant in the room: Joe Biden’s recent debate was lackluster, and his approval ratings have taken a hit. This is undeniable. Yet, sidelining him based on conjecture about electoral outcomes or internal political pressures would betray democratic principles we claim to uphold. The Democratic Party prides itself on championing the voice of the people, ensuring every vote counts. Voters across the nation supported Joe Biden during the primary season, demonstrating their faith in his leadership. Entertaining the idea of replacing him due to political pressure would undermine trust in our democratic process and set a dangerous precedent. Consider the alternative: What message does it send if we discard an elected candidate because he faces challenges? It suggests the people's will is disposable in adversity. It implies the party may capitulate to pressures instead of defending democratic processes. Moreover, dismissing Biden ignores the threat posed by his opponent to democracy. The stakes are high, and a fair democratic process is essential. Protecting democracy means honoring voter choices, even when they become challenging. In conclusion, advocating for Joe Biden to remain on the ballot upholds the integrity of our democratic institutions. It respects millions who voted in primaries and entrusted their hopes to Biden. It confronts party hypocrisy and reaffirms commitment to democratic values. As we navigate the election, defending voter choices, even amid challenges, is crucial. Biden, chosen democratically, must remain our candidate. #Democracy #Election2024 #JoeBiden #DemocraticProcess

Irrespective of Nikki Haley’s performance in New Hampshire on Tuesday – lose, tie, or even win – Trump is his party’s likely nominee, and the Davos crowd is right to be concerned. But it is overreacting when it seems to anticipate his election in November, which I find possible (say, 40%) but still improbable. Arguably, Biden should have stepped down as a one-term president, and his age makes of his running mate, Harris, a co-candidate à la Roosevelt in November 1944. But trust the voters in the fall as they absorb the madness of the Trump candidacy and assess the consequences of a second Trump term. Time instead to debate three related questions. Will Biden be able to govern as Trump denies his legitimacy with another January 6 in 2025, but en pire? Will the Republican leadership at last openly reject Trump’s version of MAGA once and for all on Day One? And what can be expected of a Harris co-presidency? The year 2024 has already been a long year which started early – on January 6, 2021; February 24, 2022; and October 7, 2023 – but so much unfinished business, it will linger dangerously past the November election and that, too, demands early reflection.    

As usual, Mr. Bouie has drafted a persuasive cogent Op-Ed that explains why Trump's conviction will likely result in his defeat in November. Below are just few excerpts: "More than half of voters (54 percent), according to Morning Consult, approve of Trump’s conviction and 49 percent, including 52 percent of independents, told pollsters for ABC News that the former president should drop out of the race. Twenty-five percent of independent registered voters say that Trump’s conviction makes them less likely to support the former president, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted after the verdict. And in a survey by the left-leaning firm Data for Progress, 56 percent of all likely voters say they approve of the jury decision, including 57 percent of independents and 60 percent of swing voters." Which means "on the narrow question of whether it helps or hurts him to have a felony conviction, it seems clear — even obvious — that he is in a worse position than he was before the jury rendered its verdict," because "Trump’s base does not win elections outside of party primaries. It did not win the midterms for the Republican Party in 2018, it did not win re-election for the Trump in 2020, and it did not win a red wave for Republicans in 2022." https://lnkd.in/ggtYzdwG

After Biden's poor showing in yesterday's Presidential candidate debate on CNN, his odds of being the next President have tumbled in election markets to around 1 chance in 5. The odds on a Trump win increased a few points, from 60% before the debate to 63% after it - the initial jump around the time of the debate was as high as 9 points but then subsided. The biggest shift was in the collective chance of another Democratic candidate winning the Presidency. Odds on Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, increased from 2% to as high as 9% around the time of the debate. Odds also increased for Michelle Obama and Kamala Harris, each of whom reached 5% at one point. Collectively, the odds on non-Biden Democratic candidates are almost as high as those on the President himself. In a highly partisan and divided nation, where the race should be close, this almost couldn't be worse for Biden. Speculation on social media of a "hot swap" is running high, but the Democratic establishment is not known for making rash moves. So unless Biden can be convinced to withdraw - and you can be sure there will be senior Democrats trying to persuade him to do so - things are looking bleak for Democrats and good for Republicans. #USelection #USPresident

President Biden has abandoned his campaign for a second term in the White House, bowing to weeks of pressure from Democratic Party colleagues who demanded he pass the torch to a younger candidate. Sensational decision made by US President Joe Biden to abandoned his campaign for a second term in White House. In a remarkable U-turn the president, 81, accepted that he no longer had the confidence of his party to be its presidential nominee. He had previously insisted he could beat Donald Trump in November’s election and defy the polls, which showed he was slipping further behind the Republican nominee. A growing number of senior party figures had told the president in recent days that he would best serve the country’s interests by stepping aside. During a news conference to conclude the Nato summit in Washington on July 11 he described Kamala Harris, his deputy, as “vice-president Trump” and earlier introduced Ukraine’s wartime leader, Volodymyr Zelensky, as “President Putin”. News that Barack Obama was doubtful Biden could beat Trump, and of donors getting spooked by Biden’s poor performances and refusing to hand over vital campaign cash, only compounded the problem. That comment from former President Obama who is a huge political figure and has still a very influential voice in the Democratic Party was most likely a key point for President Joe Biden to make such dramatic decision to quit presidential election campaign against Donald Trump. Biden may now endorse the vice-president, Harris, 59, as the party’s candidate. Others, such as California’s governor, Gavin Newsom, and Gretchen Whitmer, the governor of Michigan, could try to stand for the nomination, but with just weeks until the Democratic convention in Chicago, and less than four months until the general election, Harris is clearly the frontrunner. Still is not decided and the next few days, couple of weeks will be crucial to choose & nominated a new candidate for Democratic Party leadership position. It didn’t happen such unexpected extraordinary drama situation in the modern political history for American presidential election. Last time was happening 56 years ago in 1968 with President Lyndon B. Johnson who resigned for running for second term. Now history repeats that a guaranteed Democratic Party candidate acting US President is dropping his participation in the presidential race just 4 months before election date .

Two things to consider: First Do not be surprised if Kamala Harris is replaced with Barack Obama as Vice President on the Democratic ticket. Then they will repeat the fraudulent election process used in the 2020 election and retain power, Biden will step down and Obama will become president once again and finish destroying America. Although there are prohibitions in place preventing a President from serving more than two terms, Democrats will create a loophole or ignore the law altogether in order to stay in power. Second, if steps are not taken to ensure the integrity of the next election, those currently in power who are intentionally destroying this nation will remain in power and finish the job. The Biden administration has flown hundreds of thousands of illegals into battleground states with the intent of allowing them to vote. Do not be deceived. Anyone voting for Democrats or Rhino Republicans in this next election will be responsible for the destruction of this once great country.