Kalshi

Latest edition of Kalshi's Whisper Report: market-driven economic forecasts that our research teams sends weekly to Wall St traders, central bank economists, and reporters. DM me for access.

We're seeing increasingly more mainstream usage of Kalshi in regular economic forecasting. We are getting closer to a world where we manage to smooth out economic cycles because economists, policymakers, and the general public are getting smarter about the future of the economy via prediction markets. Economics is mostly about forecasting after all.

Last year saw our first individual user officially cross $1M in yearly income (net P&L) on Kalshi 🎉🎉 It's great to see that Kalshi is progressively becoming a stable part-time and even full-time job for many of our members. A lot of people have a ton of knowledge about the world and the news. Kalshi is a way for them to capitalize on that knowledge. Excited for 2024!

It was incredible hosting Charles Schwab (himself) in the office this morning! On how he built Charles Schwab into the enduring institution it is today: "Inch by inch, day by day."

Job openings in the US decreased to 8.7 million in October, well below the consensus estimate of 9.3 million. That’s good news for employers navigating a tight job market. But it could also spell trouble for the overall economy. Will this drop in job openings translate to higher unemployment?

Is Argentina about to go on a tear, or implode under Milei reforms? We just launched a slate of new Argentina markets... Will Milei blow up the Central Bank? Will he dollarize the economy? And more. Whatever the outcome, expect chaos.

We have to play our small part in this. Yesterday we launched 5 new OpenAI markets to trade on: - The identity of the new permanent CEO - Whether the CEO will change again - Whether Sam will start a new venture - Whether OpenAI will end its for-profit division - Whether Open AI’s board composition will change and how These markets have already been a useful gauge of what's about to happen based on breaking developments.

In 1924, betting on elections was commonplace and "covered extensively in The Times and other major newspapers, as an important source of information about national, state and local political contests." Great piece in the The New York Times: https://lnkd.in/eYnisUft

"In the White House I, along with other members of the economic team, would regularly refer to prediction markets on electoral outcomes and specific events to help inform our understanding of how political and economic developments would affect economic policymaking... ....It would be helpful to understand what informed traders with money at stake would expect—a method of understanding probabilities that research has consistently shown is superior to other ways of summarizing and updating based on information." Jason Furman, former... - Chief Economist and a member of Obama's Cabinet - Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers - Deputy Director of the National Economic Council - Current Professor at Harvard University

We love creative applications! This one went a bit beyond reaching out to recruiting@kalshi.com