Lok Sabha elections 2024 | CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey

Post-poll analysis of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, where the BJP fell short of achieving a simple majority

Updated - June 13, 2024 07:38 am IST

Published - June 06, 2024 07:09 am IST

The Hindu Bureau

A BJP supporter walks by a poster of Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the Gujarat BJP headquarters in Gandhinagar, Gujarat on June 4, 2024.

A BJP supporter walks by a poster of Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the Gujarat BJP headquarters in Gandhinagar, Gujarat on June 4, 2024. | Photo Credit: VIJAY SONEJI

In the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance returned to power, albeit without the BJP having a simple majority like it did in its last two terms.

The findings presented here are from the post-poll study by the Lokniti programme of the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi. The survey was conducted between 21st April to 3rd June, 2024.

A total of 19,663 respondents spread across 23 States of India – Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Goa, Gujarat, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Punjab, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Bengal, Delhi, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Telangana. The survey was conducted in 772 polling stations (PSs) spread across 193 Assembly Constituencies (AC) in 191 Parliamentary Constituencies (PC).

Collection - 31 stories

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Clearing misconceptions about the post-poll survey

Supporters take Prahlad Joshi on a procession after his victory in the Lok Sabha elections.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Social coalitions shaped the verdict in Karnataka

Sandeep Shastri,Veena Devi

Confectioners prepare jalebis to celebrate the victory of Congress leader Deepender Singh Hooda in the Lok Sabha elections, at Kaloi village in Rohtak.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Strategic manoeuvres helped Congress put up good show in Haryana

Devesh Kumar,Harish Kumar

Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge with party leaders Sonia Gandhi and Priyanka Gandhi Vadra during a public meeting, ahead of the Lok Sabha elections, in Jaipur, in April

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: In Rajasthan, Congress had a strategic approach while BJP was complacent

Voters wait at a polling centre in Patiala on June 1, 2024.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Modi as PM pitch did not cut much ice in Punjab

Subir Singh Jamwal ,Nirmal Singh ,Ashutosh Kumar

Voters show their identification cards as they wait outside a polling station in Bastar district on April 19, 2024.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: In Chhattisgarh, women voters give a push to BJP

A diamond merchant makes the BJP symbol using diamonds at the Diamond Market in Surat on June 4, 2024.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: BJP faces minor challenges in Gujarat

Bhanu Kumar Parmar,Shivani Choudhary

Mahila Congress workers celebrate UDF candidate N.K. Premachandran’s victory at the Kollam District Congress office.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: UDF strikes in Kerala, thanks to strong anti-incumbency wave

K.M. Sajad Ibrahim,Nithya N.R.

rime Minister Narendra Modi holds a roadshow with Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and BJP candidate for Patna Sahib, Ravi Shankar Prasad for Lok Sabha elections, in Patna on May 12, 2024.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: NDA holds its ground in Bihar but vote share dips

Sanjeer Alam,Rakesh Ranjan

Prime Minister Narendra Modi with BJP leader and former Madhya Pradesh Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan and others during an election meeting in M.P.’s Betul. Photo: X/@narendramodi via PTI

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Extraordinary ascendance of BJP in Madhya Pradesh

Yatindra Singh Sisodia

Union Home Minister Amit Shah, Hyderabad BJP candidate K. Madhavi Latha and others during an election rally at old city in Hyderabad on May 1, 2024.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: In threat to Congress, BJP gains from BRS loss in Telangana

Harathi Vageeshan,T Venkatesh

Tamil Nadu BJP president K. Annamalai amid supporters during his ‘En Mann, En Makkal’ rally in Udhagamandalam. Over the past two years, Mr. Annamalai’s “En Mann En Makkal Yatra” (My Land, My People Yatra) took the BJP across nearly every Assembly constituency. File photo

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: BJP expands presence in Tamil Nadu but fails to force a major shift

Ananya Sharma,Naman Jaju

TMC supporters celebrate the party’s win, in Kolkata.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: The smart politics of the Trinamool

Jyotiprasad Chatterjee,Suprio Basu

Sand artist Sudarsan Pattnaik creates sand art congratulating Prime Minister Narendra Modi on getting re-elected for the third consecutive term, at Puri beach.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Decoding the BJP’s sweep in Odisha

Gyanaranjan Swain

TDP President N. Chandrababu Naidu, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Jana Sena founder Pawan Kalyan in Hyderabad.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: A successful social alliance in Andhra Pradesh

Samajwadi Party president Akhilesh Yadav and Congress leader Rahul Gandhi at an election rally on the outskirts of Varanasi .

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Why the BJP underperformed in U.P.

Mirza Asmer Beg,Shashikant Pandey,Akhilesh Pal

Prime Minister Narendra Modi campaigns in Chennai. File

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: How the 2024 Lok Sabha election changed across different phases

Jyoti Mishra,Ananya Sharma

BJP supporters celebrate at the party office in Hyderabad on June 4, 2024.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: The BJP’s pro-rich skew becomes moderate

Sanjay Kumar, Jenitta

Prime Minister Narendra Modi seeks blessings from women supporters during a public meeting in Kendrapara, Odisha. File photo: BJP Media via ANI

Lok Sabha Elections

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: BJP’s sustained loss in women’s vote

Rajeshwari Deshpande

Supporters wear Modi masks during a BJP rally in Meerut. File

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: The three main takeaways

Alappuzha municipal chairperson K.K. Jayamma and others return home on a boat after voting at a polling booth at Punnamada in Alappuzha, Kerala. File

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: How urban and rural India voted

Abhinav Pankaj Borbora,Priyanka Mittal

Supporters wave flags with images of Congress leader Rahul Gandhi during an election rally in Amritsar.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Campaigns play key role in shaping choice

Shivani Choudhary,Ganesh Ramesh Kulkarni

A BJP supporter waves the party flag on June 4, 2024 in Bengaluru.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: BJP maintains advantage among young voters

Sanjay Kumar,Fuhaar Bandhu

Vendors sell flags of various political parties at a shop in Kolkata. File

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Party more than candidate holds sway over voters

Subhayan Acharya Majumdar,Nirmanyu Chouhan

Women workers under the MGNREGS at Purulia in West Bengal.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: The impact of social welfare schemes on voting behaviour

Prime Minister Narendra Modi. File

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Modi factor seems to have stagnated over a decade

Sandeep Shastri

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Personal financial conditions played key role in voting choice

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Evaluating government’s performance and its impact on voting patterns

Vibha Attri,Naman Jaju

Prime Minister Narendra Modi being felicitated by BJP president J.P. Nadda as TDP chief N Chandrababu Naidu, JD(U) chief Nitish Kumar and other leaders greet during a meeting of the National Democratic Alliance in New Delhi, Wednesday, June 5, 2024.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: Despite discontent NDA given another chance

Devesh Kumar,Rishikesh Yadav

Social split: While the BJP continues to hold on to the votes of the rich, the middle class seems to be less intense in its support.

CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey: A return to an era of genuine coalitions

Sandeep Shastri,Sanjay Kumar, Suhas Palshikar

Post-poll survey | Methodology

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